brief introduction:
Polybutene-1 (PB-1 for short) is an isotactic polymer homopolymer of butene-1 monomer. It is polymerized in a reactor from pure butene-1 monomer and catalyst.
The world's three major polybutene-1 manufacturers include LyondellBasell of the Netherlands, Mitsui Chemicals of Japan, and Econlimate of South Korea. The global annual production and consumption of polybutene-1 is about 150,000 tons, and consumption is mainly concentrated in developed countries such as Europe, the United States, Japan and South Korea. It is expected that by 2025, global demand for polybutene-1 will exceed 200,000 tons, and the growth in demand will mainly come from emerging markets such as China. China's polybutene-1 industry started late. Due to technical limitations, high-end products are highly dependent on imports.
There are currently 4 polybutene-1 manufacturers in China. Domestic polybutene-1 production devices all adopt the continuous bulk process. However, due to technical limitations, the product quality stability is poor, especially in terms of toughness index, which is still lower than that of imported products. There is a big gap.
In February 2022, the 3000t/a polybutene-1 industrial demonstration unit developed by the technical team of Sinopec Beijing Research Institute of Chemical Industry was put into operation at Zhenhai Refining and Chemical Industry, making Sinopec a company with the ability to continuously and stably produce polybutene-1 products. leader.
In 2021, China's polybutene-1 demand will be 12,800 tons, a year-on-year increase of -3.7%; in 2022, China's polybutene-1 demand will be 9,500 tons, a year-on-year increase of -25.8%.
It is expected that in the next five years, with the continuous improvement of domestic technology, the operating rate of domestic polybutene-1 devices will increase. However, for a long period of time in the future, polybutene-1 will still be mainly imported. However, due to the impact of localization, the import volume is expected to decrease year by year. In addition, polybutylene-1 pipes have development potential for future exports, and foreign floor heating pipes are more recognized as polybutylene-1 materials. Although there are some polybutene-1 pipe processing plants in Southeast Asia, India and other places with low production costs, if domestically produced polybutene-1 is successfully mass-produced in the future, it will benefit from its greater raw material cost advantage. exit.
Chapter 1 Overview of China Polybutene-1
Section 1 Industry Definition
Section 2 Industry Development Characteristics
Chapter 2 Overview of Foreign Polybutene-1 Market Development
Section 1 Global Polybutene-1 Market Analysis
1. Global polybutene-1 market development pattern
2. Global polybutene-1 market demand from 2018 to 2022
Section 2 Market Overview of Major Countries in Asia
Section 3 Market Overview of Major Countries in Europe
Section 4 Market Overview of Major Countries in the Americas
Chapter 3 Environmental Analysis of Polybutene-1 in China
Section 1 Economic Development Environment Analysis
Section 2 Industry related policies and standards
Chapter 4 Analysis of China’s Polybutene-1 Technology Development
Section 1 Analysis of the current development status of polybutene-1 technology in China
1. Slurry method
2. Ontology method
3. Gas phase method
4. Comparison of production processes
Section 2 Technical Analysis of China’s Polybutene-1 Catalyst System
1. ZN catalyst
2. Metallocene catalysts
Section 3 Analysis of China’s Polybutene-1 Technology Maturity
Section 4 Strategies to Improve China’s Polybutene-1 Technology
Chapter 5 Analysis of Market Characteristics of Polybutene-1
Section 1 Concentration and prediction of polybutene-1
Section 2 Polybutylene-1 SWOT Analysis and Forecast
1. Advantages of polybutene-1
2. Disadvantages of polybutylene-1
3. Opportunities for polybutene-1
4. Risks of polybutene-1
Section 3 Polybutene-1 entry and exit status and prediction
Chapter 6 Development Status of Polybutene-1 in China
Section 1 China polybutene-1 market status analysis and forecast
Section 2 Analysis of China’s Polybutene-1 Production from 2018 to 2022
1. Analysis of China’s polybutene-1 production capacity in 2022
2. China’s polybutene-1 production from 2018 to 2022
Section 3 Analysis of China’s Polybutene-1 Market Demand from 2018 to 2022
1. Demand for polybutene-1 in China from 2018 to 2022
2. China’s polybutene-1 demand characteristics and geographical distribution
Section 4 China Polybutene-1 Price Trend Analysis
1. Analysis of the current market price of polybutene-1 in China
2. Analysis of factors affecting the price of polybutene-1
3. China’s polybutene-1 price trend forecast from 2023 to 2028
Chapter 7 Economic Operation of China’s Polybutene-1 Industry from 2018 to 2022
Section 1 Debt solvency of China’s polybutylene-1 industry from 2018 to 2022
Section 2 Profitability of China’s polybutene-1 industry from 2018 to 2022
Section 3 China’s Polybutene-1 Industry Development Capacity from 2018 to 2022
Section 4 Number of enterprises in China’s polybutylene-1 industry from 2018 to 2022
Chapter 8 Analysis of China’s Polybutene-1 Imports from 2018 to 2022
Section 1 Import Characteristics of China’s Polybutene-1
Section 2 Analysis of China’s polybutene-1 imports from 2018 to 2022
Chapter 9 Major polybutene-1 companies and competition landscape
Section 1 Shandong Dongfang Hongye Chemical Co., Ltd.
1. Company Profile
2. Analysis of enterprise competitive advantages
3. Analysis of enterprise polybutene-1 products
Section 2 Shandong Jingbo Petrochemical Co., Ltd.
1. Company Profile
2. Analysis of enterprise polybutene-1 products
Section 3 Sinopec Zhenhai Refining and Chemical Branch
1. Company Profile
2. Analysis of enterprise polybutene-1 products
Chapter 10 China Polybutene-1 Investment Suggestions from 2023 to 2028
Section 1 Polybutene-1 Investment Environment Analysis
1. Pipe material
2. Film and easy-to-tear film
3. Electrical composite materials
4. Blending modifier
Section 2 Analysis of investment entry barriers for polybutene-1
1. Economic scale and necessary capital amount
2. Technical barriers
Section 3 Polybutene-1 Investment Suggestions
1. Improve the core competitiveness of Chinese polybutene-1 enterprises
2. Factors affecting the core competitiveness of polybutylene-1 enterprises
3. Strategies to improve the competitiveness of polybutene-1 enterprises
Chapter 11 China’s polybutene-1 future development forecast and investment prospect analysis from 2023 to 2028
Section 1 Analysis of future development trends of polybutene-1 industry
1. Sufficient sources of 1-Bt
2. Localization of PB pipe production equipment
3. High-end consumer market demand
Section 2 China’s polybutene-1 market supply forecast from 2023 to 2028
Section 3 China’s polybutene-1 market demand forecast from 2023 to 2028
Chapter 12 Industry experts’ suggestions and opinions on China’s polybutene-1 investment from 2023 to 2028
Section 1 Polybutene-1 Industry Investment Opportunities
Section 2 Polybutene-1 Industry Investment Risks
1. Low trust in domestic polybutene-1
2. It is difficult to effectively expand the demand side
3. Impacted by inferior products
Section 3 Industry Response Strategies
Chart 1: PB-1 basic performance 8
Chart 2: Performance indicators of main brands of LyondellBasell PB pipe materials10
Chart 3: Performance indicators of main brands of Mitsui Chemicals’ PB pipe special materials10
Chart 4: Performance indicators of main brands of Aikanglimate PB pipe special materials11
Chart 5: Global polybutene-1 market consumption and growth statistics from 2018 to 202212
Chart 6: Polybutene-1 market consumption and growth statistics in Asia from 2018 to 202212
Chart 7: Polybutene-1 market consumption and growth statistics in Europe from 2018 to 202213
Chart 8: Polybutene-1 market consumption and growth statistics in the Americas from 2018 to 202213
Chart 9, China’s polybutene-1 related policy analysis 20
Figure 10: Huels slurry polymerization polybutene-1 process flow 22
Figure 11: Mobil liquid bulk polymerization polybutene-1 process flow 23
Chart 12: Schematic diagram of the process flow of polybutene-1 polymerized by bulk precipitation method at Qingdao University of Science and Technology24
Chart 13: Main enterprises and production capacity statistics of polybutene-1 in China29
Chart 14, China’s polybutene-1 production from 2018 to 202233
Chart 15, China’s polybutene-1 demand from 2018 to 2022 33
Chart 16. Mainstream price analysis of polybutylene-1 market by various manufacturers in 202234
Chart 17, China’s polybutene-1 price index forecast from 2023 to 2028 35
Chart 18, China’s polybutene-1 debt solvency statistics from 2018 to 2022 36
Chart 19, China’s polybutene-1 industry profitability from 2018 to 2022 37
Chart 20, China’s polybutene-1 development capacity statistics from 2018 to 202238
Chart 21. Number of polybutene-1 enterprises above designated size in China from 2018 to 2022 39
Chart 22, China’s polybutene-1 import volume from 2018 to 202240
Chart 23. Performance indicators of main grades of Shandong Dongfang Hongye Chemical PB pipe special materials 43
Chart 24, China’s polybutene-1 production forecast from 2023 to 202851
Chart 25, China’s polybutene-1 demand forecast from 2023 to 202852
Chart 26, performance comparison of different types of floor heating pipes 53