题目：
问题F:我打电话回家的地方……
研究人员已经确认了几个岛国，如马尔代夫、图瓦卢、基里巴斯和马绍尔群岛，由于海平面上升而面临着完全消失的危险。当一个国家的土地消失时，岛上的人口会发生什么，或者应该发生什么?这些环境上流离失所的人不仅需要重新安置，而且还有失去独特文化、语言和生活方式的危险。在这个问题上，我们要求你从重新安置人口和保护文化两方面更仔细地考虑这个问题。
有许多需要考虑和解决的问题，包括:这些edp将何去何从?哪些国家将接受它们?从历史上和现在来看，各国对温室气体的贡献都不成比例，这些温室气体加速了与海平面上升相关的气候变化，那么，最严重的违法者是否有更大的义务来解决这些问题呢?而且，在决定这些无国籍的edp在何处安家的问题上，谁有发言权?是个人，是像联合国这样的政府间组织，还是吸收这些人的各国政府?关于这些问题的更详细的解释在第3页开始的问题文件中给出。
由于最近联合国裁决,打开门的理论识别edp难民,国际气候迁移基金会(ICM-F)已聘请你建议联合国通过开发一个模型,用它来分析这个多方面的问题时,为什么,和联合国应该如何进入一个解决edp的增加挑战的角色。ICM-F计划向联合国简要介绍联合国应如何对edp作出系统反应的指南，特别是考虑到保护文化遗产的愿望。您的任务是开发一个模型(或一组模型)，并使用您的模型提供分析来支持这个简报。ICM-F对理解EDPs问题的范围特别感兴趣。例如，目前有多少人有成为EDPs[1]的风险;高危民族文化的价值是什么?随着时间的推移，这些答案可能会发生怎样的变化?此外，世界应如何制定一项国际政策，专门侧重于保护那些国家在气候变化面前消失的人的权利，同时还以保护文化为目标?根据你的分析，你可以就这个问题提出什么建议，接受或拒绝你的建议有什么影响?
这个问题极其复杂。我们理解您的提交将不能完全考虑第3页开始的问题文件中描述的所有方面。然而，考虑到你所涉及的各个方面，综合你的工作，形成对国际货币基金组织的一个有凝聚力的回答，就像他们向联合国建议的那样。至少，你的团队的论文应该包括:
•从面临风险的人数和文化损失风险两方面分析问题的范围;
•在人权(能够重新定居并充分参与新家园的生活)和文化保护方面提出的解决edp的政策建议;
•用于衡量政策建议的潜在影响的模型的开发描述;
•解释如何使用您的模型来设计和/或改进您提出的策略;
•根据你的分析，解释实施你提出的政策的重要性。
ICM-F由包括数学家、气候科学家和难民移民专家在内的跨学科评审组成，他们将对您的工作进行评审。因此，你的论文应该是为有科学素养但不同的读者写的。
Problem F: The Place I Called Home…
Researchers have identified several island nations, such as The Maldives, Tuvalu, Kiribati, and The Marshall Islands, as being at risk of completely disappearing due to rising sea levels. What happens, or what should happen, to an island’s population when its nation’s land disappears? Not only do these environmentally displaced persons (EDPs) need to relocate, but there is also risk of losing a unique culture, language, and way of life. In this problem, we ask you to look more closely at this issue, in terms of both the need to relocate people and the protection of culture.
There are many considerations and questions to address, to include: Where will these EDPs go? What countries will take them? Given various nations’ disproportionate contributions to the green-house gasses both historically and currently that have accelerated climate change linked to the rising seas, should the worst offenders have a higher obligation to address these issues? And, who gets a say in deciding where these nationless EDPs make a new home – the individuals, an intergovernmental organization like the United Nations (UN), or the individual governments of the states absorbing these persons? A more detailed explanation of these issues is given in the Issue Paper beginning on page 3.
As a result of a recent UN ruling that opened the door to the theoretical recognition of EDPs as refugees, the International Climate Migration Foundation (ICM-F) has hired you to advise the UN by developing a model and using it to analyze this multifaceted issue of when, why, and how the UN should step into a role of addressing the increasing challenge of EDPs. The ICM-F plans to brief the UN on guidance for how the UN should generate a systemized response for EDPs, especially in consideration of the desire to preserve cultural heritage. Your assignment is to develop a model (or set of models) and use your model(s) to provide the analysis to support this briefing. The ICM-F is especially interested in understanding the scope of the issue of EDPs. For example, how many people are currently at risk of becoming EDPs[1]; what is the value of the cultures of at-risk nations; how are those answers likely to change over time? Furthermore, how should the world respond with an international policy that specifically focuses on protecting the rights of persons whose nations have disappeared in the face of climate change while also aiming to preserve culture? Based on your analysis, what recommendations can you offer on this matter, and what are the implications of accepting or rejecting your recommendations?
This problem is extremely complex. We understand that your submission will not be able to fully consider all of the aspects described in the Issue Paper beginning on page 3. However, considering the aspects that you address, synthesize your work into a cohesive answer to the ICM-F as they advise the UN. At a minimum, your team’s paper should include:
• An analysis of the scope of the issue in terms of both the number of people at risk and the risk of loss of culture;
• Proposed policies to address EDPs in terms of both human rights (being able to resettle and participate fully in life in their new home) and cultural preservation;
• A description of the development of a model used to measure the potential impact of proposed policies;
• An explanation of how your model was used to design and/or improve your proposed policies;
• An explanation, backed by your analysis, of the importance of implementing your proposed policies.
The ICM-F consists of interdisciplinary judges including mathematicians, climate scientists, and experts in refugee migration to review your work. Therefore, your paper should be written for a scientifically literate yet diverse audience.
解题思路：
