用累积分布函数(CDF)计算期望

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一般计算期望的方法为:
E ( x ) = x x P ( x ) E(x) = \sum_x xP(x) 或者
E ( x ) = x P ( x ) d x E(x) = \int xP(x)dx


但如果我们已知 非负 随机变量的累积分布函数(CDF)为 F ( x ) F(x) 时,可以用如下方式计算:
E ( x ) = 0 1 F ( x ) d x E(x) = \int_0^\infty 1-F(x)dx
或者对于取值为离散自然数的随机变量
E ( x ) = n = 0 P r ( x n ) E(x) = \sum_{n=0}^\infty Pr(x\geq n)


证明1:
E ( x ) = 0 y P ( y ) d y = 0 0 y P ( y ) d x d y = 0 x P ( y ) d y d x = 0 1 F ( x ) d x E(x) = \int_0^{\infty} yP(y)dy = \int_0^{\infty} \int_0^yP(y)dxdy \\= \int_0^{\infty} \int_x^{\infty}P(y)dydx = \int_0^{\infty} 1-F(x)dx
证明2:
E ( x ) = k = 0 k P r ( x = k ) = k = 0 n = 0 k P r ( x = k ) = n = 0 k = n P r ( x = k ) = n = 0 P r ( x n ) E(x) = \sum_{k=0}^{\infty} kPr(x=k) = \sum_{k=0}^{\infty}\sum_{n=0}^{k} Pr(x=k) \\=\sum_{n=0}^{\infty} \sum_{k=n}^{\infty}Pr(x=k) = \sum_{n=0}^\infty Pr(x\geq n)

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转载自blog.csdn.net/itnerd/article/details/85545524