[View] encryption key factors from winter to spring the currency Bitcoin rebirth

Encryption winter longest time has occurred. Buzz and rumors circulated in the media, said the 2017--2018 block chain boom years may actually be just another fashion trend. Some are skeptical about the start of the so-called block chain hype interested in technology companies, while others are still trying to figure out the encryption tragedy.

Enterprises should understand, though closely related to encryption block chain and money, but it is two different things, and winter encryption currency will not affect the potential growth of the block chain business.

Despite turbulent market conditions, but Bitcoin in 2019, is still much higher than the major asset classes. This performance highlights the features of Bitcoin, which can effectively avoid stagnation and global risk and high return on risk assets.

In the first few months of 2019, Bitcoin (BTC) prices remained below $ 4,000, thus exacerbating people's fears in the market is indeed in the long winter encryption. Not only that, throughout 2018, the sector has witnessed approximately 2,000 simultaneous encryption currency collapse - lost about 80 percent of total market capitalization.

In addition, it can be seen that during 2018 due to a series of fraud and illegal activities led investors to lose a lot of money (an estimated value of several million dollars), the prevailing view encryption currency industry has been greatly damaged. ). As a result, such as Nobel laureate Nuo Lier Roubini (Nouriel Roubini) and other celebrities concern record, claiming that BTC is the source of all financial bubbles, causing panic in the market to fairly quickly spread around the world .

In addition, Ernst & Young is also in early 2018 released a market research report, show cybercriminals can steal per month from the initial token issuance proceeds of approximately $ 1.5 million, raising a total of about $ 400 million in funding.

These results are dark development, a large number of legitimate projects into the ground, waiting for unnecessary noise died down, so that the encryption market suffered huge losses. To make things clearer, "Forbes" in "Fintech 50 - 2019" is a list of the most promising technology companies in the world, of which only six blocks chain project. In contrast, there are 11 companies were included in the encryption 2018 list.

Careful study of the matter

2017 bull market really expanded the global reach of the encryption market, there were many novice investors are beginning to realize its potential Bitcoin. However, after the flagship encryption assets reached a record high price of nearly $ 20,000, the majority of analysts and experts have begun to realize that this positive trend can not last much longer, the market will inevitably shift to a more bearish mode. operating.

Indeed, in 2018, a few months later, BTC's value fell to $ 3,300, is the case. Also near this price range, many experts believe that Bitcoin has found a bottom. Whenever assets fell to its lowest point, the overall volatility usually decline. BTC situation is also true that in the first half of January 2019, the currency volatility of the currency fell to very low levels.

Another important indicator seems to indicate that Bitcoin between December 2018 to January 2019 is the bottom of the hash function area providers. At the most basic sense, the hash function area can be seen as a computational tool that combines a hash of bitcoin mining difficulty and, in order to determine a specific time period to purchase digital currency most profitable. In this regard, when the hash mark Ribbon issued a buy signal, it usually indicates that the bottom has been formed locally - This is exactly what happened BTC in early 2019.

Jeroen van Lange (Jeroen Van Lange) said: "The wise man between $ 3000 and $ 4000 to buy a bitcoin." The independent analysts believe, rose from $ 3,000 to $ 13,000 and the market psychology have a great relationship, especially worry miss:

"This is but the loss of the man in a bear market is already the basis for investment in 2017, but they still have great confidence in the bitcoin."

Van Lange also outlined other reasons he believes will help promote Bitcoin prices:

Currency to be supported in its moving average 200 weeks.

BTC reached very low levels of volatility in early 2019.

Assets dropped by nearly 85 percent from a record high.

此外，与此相关的是，位于Peer（一家位于大众传媒媒体SludgeFeed背后的波士顿创业公司）的所有者克雷格·鲁索（Craig Russo）认为，他认为有多种因素共同推动了2019年上半年比特币价格的上涨，其中包括“即将到来的整体奖励的供求动态减少了一半，并且由于主要金融机构和公司进入该领域，人们再次相信BTC的固有价值。“ Russo还认为BTC的价格可以预见地对市场状况做出了反应：

“这也是有理由的，比特币正在从严重超卖的状况中恢复，这种状况促使在3000美元至10000美元之间的几个关键水平上进行了短暂的挤压。但是，在达到约14K美元之后，BTC现在显然陷于停滞状态在更大的范围内。”

帮助解冻2018-19年加密货币冬季的其他关键因素

中文支持

2019年10月25日，当BTC的价格维持在7500美元左右时，中国总统宣布他将加快他的国家采用区块链的努力，以促进中国许多当地行业的新颖技术创新。这被视为整个行业的大规模认可，因为到10月27日，单个比特币的价格飙升至略低于10,000美元的水平。

如果那还不够的话，去年还发现，中国希望在2020年的某个时候发行自己的中央银行数字货币。这种被称为“数字人民币”的货币实际上将用作代币形式的货币，并且将由中国中央银行管理局-中国人民银行支持。

Fenbushi Capital的董事总经理弗兰克·富（Frank Fu）认为，由于这一宣布，比特币的价值确实有所增加，他说，这完全是由于公众的猜测。

主流采用率提高

在过去的12个月左右的时间里，摩根大通（JPMorgan Chase）和富国银行（Wells Fargo）等许多成熟的金融实体宣布，他们正在努力创建自己的加密代币或利用区块链技术来简化其内部工作流程。这些主流认可有助于在这个相对新生的市场空间中运作的投资者中增加信心。

比特币减半的预期

市场转为看涨的另一个原因是，由于定于2020年5月12日举行的比特币减半事件，FOMO可能扩散到了这个领域。

在这次最新的减半事件之后，BTC的本机块奖励商将从12.5 BTC减少到6.25 BTC。因此，这将导致每个区块可获取的比特币数量变得更加稀缺。

周期性市场波动

数字货币市场经历周期性的货币起伏周期。例如，在经历了整个2014年之后，比特币的价值在第二年大幅下降。在2017年和2018年也观察到了类似的趋势。

为了更好地了解这种动态的潮起潮落，XanPool首席执行官Jeffery Liu Xun是点对点法定网关，它是即时的，不需要客户承担任何托管风险。他说：“时间到了，比特币是一种旨在上涨的资产。”

“现在，与所有市场一样，人们经历了贪婪的阶段，令人恐惧的阶段，以及在2017年的贪婪阶段之后，比特币经历了一段时间的看跌恐惧阶段是很自然的。请注意，比特币一直以来都达到了新的水平如果您查看的是三年的时间，则将创下新高。”

天秤座公告

在2019年初，马克·扎克伯格向世界展示了他对主流加密货币的看法，这将使社交媒体平台Facebook的用户只需按一下按钮即可促进其本地/国际支付。

尽管天秤座可能无法获得扎克伯格和他的团队最初期望的主流支持，但它确实有助于使人们合法化并教育人们这种新型资产类别的巨大潜力。

推出Bakkt

2019年9月，洲际交易所推出了期待已久的数字资产平台Bakkt。该平台在发布之前受到了极大的炒作，因为它最终为机构参与者提供了一条以最简单，最轻松的方式进入这个新兴领域的道路。

该平台的每日比特币期货交易量在2019年11月创下历史新高，从而表明消费者对该市场空间的兴趣日益增加。 2020年初，FTX和CME也加入了市场，这将继续推动需求。

结束？

尽管加密行业在2019年取得了可观的复苏-单个比特币的价格在6月一次升至13,000美元大关，然后在7月再次升至大关-在整个11月和12月，市场继续显示出看跌信号，迫使比特币价格上涨。顶级加密货币的价格回落并徘徊在7,500美元区域附近。

This may be due to the fact that: first half of November, PLUS token Ponzi scheme, the founder and creator of the detained Chinese law enforcement agencies, the purpose is to deceive investors, defrauding $ 3 billion worth of Bitcoin.

PLUS token Ponzi scheme is one of the largest ever found in the encryption-related money, the project is expected to provide 9-18% of ridiculous monthly returns for investors. It is believed that after this scam was discovered, many investors began to deliver on its stock holdings, in order to minimize losses (by fire and OKEx currency, such as different Chinese exchange), forcing down the value of Bitcoin and constant. Placed near the price of $ 7,500.

That being said, since the beginning of the year, the entire market looks much better, gradually gained currency as the bit value, and in a considerable price points between 8600 to $ 8800 in the past few days.