Zurich speculative law of 4
There is an old story, a man standing on the street every day around the corner waving his arms and emits strange sounds. Police questioned why he went on to do so. "I want a giraffe get out." The man explained. "But we've never had a giraffe here ah!" The police replied. The man said: "It is I let it get out of it!" This is a relationship that does not exist, rational mind can perceive the relationship, but sometimes, we are also fabricated it.
The human mind is an order seeking organ. It chaos will feel uncomfortable, and in order to give it a meet, it will enter the fantasy from reality. Thus, every time when two things happened very close, we will insist on the existence of a causal relationship between them, because it will make us feel very comfortable. But it also makes us hurt. When we realize that, they usually too late.
Unless you can see exactly one of the reasons at work, really see it, or you'll be the most skeptical attitude towards all causal ideas. When you notice have been incidents before and after the event synchronization or, most likely explanation is: This is caused because the causal factors, unless you have irrefutable evidence to prove the opposite conclusion. Always remember that you are dealing with a chaotic situation and act accordingly.
When you can not exactly observe the true causal relationship, avoid the temptation will save you a lot of grief.
Ridiculous gambler's streak is also a special type of fantasy. In this case, the rule is not in the chaos of the world around him to produce, but play a role in his inner world. When you say you are very excited about, or are you feeling today is your lucky day, you mean to say you are in a temporary state, things would be in this state, incidental your favor. Do you think, in the chaos of the world, there are a variety of unrelated events, but there is an order exists. Around you, these events stop the noise, are engaged in your way. Opportunity to beat roulette and slot where you want, poker and horse racing will be as you wish, you can buy a lottery win, even if you blindfolded stock picks, next week the price will double. In short, you can not fail! However, this is not possible.
In Las Vegas and Atlantic City most often hear is that the night before big bets, you should first test their luck. Some talk Queshiruci proposals gambling, meaning that to you several times before under small bets, such as playing the old hu machine to see how your luck. If the old machine hu swallow your money, I did not even say thank you, you should know your luck is back that night, so you better obediently back to the hotel room watching TV. However, if the old machine with interest hu spit out money, you're ready to play craps and roulette large bar. Almost all of them believe that this fantasy about rules. Mad gamble of people believe it, flutter people are no exception. Rich people to wear fur casino believe it, lost money even ticket home are people who can not afford to believe it. All of us could believe it, think of it as part of life.
Countless speculators and gamblers are winning when not in time to get out and go bankrupt; absurd psychological gamblers will lead to the kind of failure, because it will make people feel a temporary victory will last that he is temporarily Invincible. This is a dangerous feeling that no one is invincible.
In roulette, horse racing, art market, or any other gamblers in the game are the same, as long as you play long enough, you will enjoy the victory.
Law of six want you to remain flexible, it Cheng told you: To avoid the loss of roots opportunities for speculation, such as emotional loyalty, continued to wait for the return of behavior. It says you have to free, ready out from that situation or to seize the opportunity as soon as possible.
In the dictionary of modern theory of health psychology, instability and anxiety belong to the same class, they all make you feel bad.
In many respects stable indeed a good thing, to feel part of a familiar environment, including old friends and good neighbors, this will give the heart to bring a warm feeling. In contrast, the opposite of this cozy environment - rootless, wandering soul, alienation, apathy, etc. will be uncomfortable. There is no doubt, which is why most people cringe so unstable, and more willing to pursue stable grounds.
But you have to be careful to deal with the stability, if you let it affect your financial life, it will waste your money. The more seriously you to find familiar and comfortable feel, the less likely you are to become a successful speculators.
An elderly couple was unable to convince myself to sell the house, they explained that they have roots here . This is where their child-rearing, this building big house full of memories. They can not stand this house was converted college students dormitory. Moreover, some old neighbors also urged them not to sell, this will become more than a house dormitory, and once they move to all questions left to other people: It seems neither a friendly nor loyalty.
Miss Shattuck friends decided to stay. But this area has been in decline, other houses have been sold, including those who talk about loyal guys.
Finally, when the old couple decided to sell the house, the buyer has not appeared. Even if there is a buyer, the price is very low, much lower than the original price. Moreover, the longer they wait, the lower the price.
Many times, you have to choose between stability and money. If you are interested in money (this is probably the reason you study speculative), sometimes we had to give stability. Stable so that you too dependent on some external things. You should rely on people, not the house or the immediate environment. Similarly, you can not rely on a particular company. In fact, no one is difficult to know when to sell is wise, but do not let you hinder stability.
Henry knew a man, he is a small factory engineer. In recent years he accumulated a lot of the company's common stock and preferred stock. There was a time very prosperous company, the share price soared very high, but that time did not last long. Now, the company is the market mutation in serious trouble, especially by Japanese competitors after some ruthless blow.
This result is well known dilemma caused the stock price plummeted.
Engineers believe the problem will be worse than guessing anyone. He compared the company's products and Japanese products, we found that the quality gap is too big. Japanese products are not only low prices but also good quality. The engineer believes that the company can not overcome doubly disadvantaged. He was convinced that sooner or later a competitor company collapse. He should throw away the stock, but the nostalgic mood has hampered his actions.
He cherished this small company's loyalty to his distress, this feeling was reinforced by the chairman, general manager and principal shareholder "Do not give up" speech. Chairman of the board is an incorrigible optimist, he loudly declared that he also continued to buy the company's stock, he believes that doing so is important. Since the Securities and Exchange Commission and the Securities and Exchange Law requires shareholders to the company's share of equity into the open, and the sale of shares of actions to be made public, so the engineer then sell the stock is bound to feel sad . He concluded that, if acted reverse, he may win reputation. So he bought more shares in order to prove that he has confidence in the company's survival and future, he said his loyalty.
Never yearn for the old things, but do not forget old friends. Yearn for the old things will reduce your flexibility, when necessary, action to be fast, once you take root, your speculation efficiency will be significantly worse.
Never since have it "owes" you feel and stop certain speculative in tool, if it was not progress and you see the better chance you might see a change. After Convertible, the only thing you lose is a commission agent.
No matter how you do, there will regret things, you better not calculating, it decided to stick or convertible should be based on their own judgment as to what kind of speculation will be rewarded as the basis for selection faster.
At any time, when you hold an investment, but also be attracted to other investments, you should ask yourself questions. It should never be cling tightly, whether there is speculation and people hobby dilemma, people waiting profitable holdings, or those who feel panic or fear of people give up some familiar things and the pursuit of new the unknown. Select the best opportunity, then do it .
Law of seven think, laugh and blindly believe that premonition is wrong. Although intuition is not right, but if cautious and skeptical attitude towards it, it could be a beneficial tool for speculation, intuition and there is no magic or mystery. It just appeared daily mental activity: You know something, but you do not know how he knew. If you had a strong hunch that tells you that your money will be put into some kind of action. The law will persuade you to do this check. Just when you explain it to believe it. That is to say, only when your mind repository can help you judge that when this premonition is likely to achieve, you can believe it. If you do not have sufficient information reserves, it would ignore the premonition.
Secondary laws related Cheng said eleven divisions, and the desired mixed premonition not slip. Be particularly vigilant of any flash of intuition, especially it seems to indicate the results you want.
Rational use. This is the method in Zurich. This idea is certainly the usefulness of intuition. Direct negation of such a potentially useful tool for speculation (abandoned all instincts, just because some of them are stupid), it seems a pity. On the other hand, there are some premonition should be thrown into the dustbin. The only difference is how to identify which deserve care, care which is not worth nothing.
Therefore, the first step is to: find out what hunch is that this strange "knowledge" is from where?
In fact, it did not look so foreboding and mysterious. Some people often feel super mysterious power to interpret or intuition, but these claims are misleading premonition just a common spiritual activities. When you suddenly have a strong feeling, such as "I believe that company worse than it looks," this conclusion may be based on those actual and reliable information stored in your mind from the deduction, but you do not know the brain is how to deduce this result.
If a person to call you, you will immediately recognize him (her) voice. why? Depending on what clues it? You did not answer. If you try to describe to me the voice, you will find this unlikely. Which shares the memory must exist in your mind, but you do not know what it is or where it is. This is the genesis of foreboding. A good hunch is that you already know, but you do not know how he knew.
If a hunch can be interpreted, then it is trustworthy.
No matter how wonderful a feeling, do not let it put you lie, into the state of over-confidence, to keep doubts. Intuition can be a useful tool for speculation, but it is not one hundred percent correct. As we mentioned before, always the correct formula is non-existent.