A few days ago, the ministry official announced the official launch of our R & D 6G news, the Internet has attracted wide forward, I believe we have seen.
News Summary: November 3, 2019, in conjunction with the Ministry of Science Development and Reform Commission, Ministry of Education, the Ministry of Industry and Information Technology, Chinese Academy of Sciences, NSFC held 6G technology research and development work will start in Beijing organization. 6G meeting announced the establishment of the National Working Group to promote R & D and overall expert group. Among them, promoting the work group from the relevant government departments, it is responsible for driving the implementation of 6G technology research and development work; overall by the group of experts from universities, research institutes and enterprises a total of 37 experts, is responsible for layout recommendations put forward 6G technology research and technical feasibility studies, provide advice and recommendations to major decisions. 6G technology research and development to promote the establishment of working groups and the general group of experts, indicates that China 6G technology research and development work officially started.
One view: 6G Why not be optimistic?
We should also remember that just two months ago, Huawei broke recruiting talent in Ottawa, Canada 6G, 6G start research news.
One view: 6G Why not be optimistic?
Late last month, the University of Oulu, Finland released the world's first 6G White Paper - "6G ubiquitous wireless smart key drivers and research challenges."
One view: 6G Why not be optimistic?
White Paper Cover
A short time, 6G again and again to appear in the media, clearly shows a problem developed to promote --6G, whether government, research institutions or enterprises, have been fully started.
Before jujube Jun 6G in the analysis of Huawei's article said that as Huawei, ZTE, Ericsson, Nokia such enterprises, 6G preliminary research has quietly launched a few years ago, but it is not a high-profile public.
Communications industry has always been the traditional "use generation, research generation, reserve generation", 5G standard complete 60-70% of the time, 6G it should be included in the agenda. The Ministry of Science meeting, the time is not too early.
One view: 6G Why not be optimistic?
In March, the world's first 6G summit have been opened up.
About 6G, a lot of people look forward to the new technology appears black, the "big surprise" appearance. Unfortunately, from the current situation, this probability is not very high.
R & D evolution of modern communication technology, since the telephone was invented telegraph, almost two hundred years time. While such a long time, advances in technology, but in fact, the core of the basic theory is almost standing still. To put it plainly, I play to play that electricity and magnetism.
The capacity of all communication system has been unable to break out the theoretical framework. 70 years ago, Mr. Shannon formula we communicate ancestral Claude Shannon proposed today is still as big as mountains towering fixed, difficult to cross.
We proud 5G Hao, and even hope-filled 6G, in the case of basic theory can not break, can only be regarded as tinkering, drained the last point value of electromagnetic waves.
Rate, coverage, power consumption, density, cost, safety ...... these indicators like starving baby, and the mother's milk, always only so much it makes.
One view: 6G Why not be optimistic?
Experts brains came up with technological innovations, like squeezing toothpaste, pitiful. These technological achievements, the point in time to catch the 5G, 5G on the inclusion criteria. Can not keep up, then we keep to 6G. Although it looks cold trampled, but it is also quite upset.
One view: 6G Why not be optimistic?
Suffer from supply-side "Tomoko" lock on the tech tree, but this is not the biggest problem. The biggest problem from the demand side.
5G delay in the government and enterprises to open the market situation, the industry is expected to occur off the Internet also disappeared, so that everyone can not help but to sweat. If you always so loud thunder, no rain, thunder have to wait until after disappearing, and the scene will inevitably embarrassing.
Potential topics 3GPP R17 direction collected (in fact 6G direction), in addition to satellite and terahertz near-Earth orbit, and the rest is basically this enhancement, the enhancement.
One view: 6G Why not be optimistic?
Potential topics 3GPP R17 gathered direction
Why? Not because no direction, can only continue to patch the chanting.
Everyone is waiting to see the performance of 5G. If 5G succeed (even if only a little success), then, build on the progress, and further enhance 5G, packaged 6G, into the market.
If 5G can not succeed, then, before finding new market pain points and needs, we will not have an incentive to invest 6G.
One view: 6G Why not be optimistic?
Jun jujube personally think terahertz whether mobile phone broadband, or scenes of things, restrictions are too big, prospects are very limited. Satellite communications also does not apply to the mainstream crowd. Both technologies featuring 6G core, it is a bit far-fetched, at best, is a "5G +".
Now this 4G network, there is the construction of 5G network, should be the next two decades the main framework of our human mobile communication system, can not be suddenly came out 6G, 7G completely replaced.
In other words, the next two decades, "connected" market growth should be slow, difficult to have disruptive changes. Development in this area is not suitable Destructive Enthusiasm, should be given adequate time and space to grow.
If you need to find the outlet, we still recommend the line of sight on the "calculate" on. AI considered a breakthrough and force landing, the probability is much much traffic. Edge computing, distributed computing (block chain), is behind the commercial value worth the wait. Market potential and return on investment application layer, will certainly be higher than the infrastructure.
If you want to stick to "connect" the battlefield, please be ready for winter. DSM has now entered a new economic cycle, no one knows how long this winter will last.
Under the premise of demand is not clear, for technology updates and updates, makes no sense. Apply the film "Galaxy cram" in Deng Chao was: "If you do not know where to even the flak, bow every day, what significance does it have?"
Its aimlessly behind closed doors, it is better to invest more resources in basic theory and personnel training. The basic theory of an early breakthrough, the only way out is the industry.
