Question 1: When a project for planning, risk encountered a problem, the project manager decides whether to adopt the scheme A. If A method requires the use of a new development tool, but this tool can grasp the probability is 30%, by using this tool can profit $ 50,000, if plan A can not master this tool, the loss of 10,000 yuan. Decision Tree Analysis Technical description of the project manager whether to adopt the program.
Problem 2: The following two cases using the decision tree analysis
Scenario 1: random coin toss twice, if the two are the result of throwing coins face up, you will get $ 10, throwing love the results back up every time you need to pay $ 1.50.
Scenario 2: random coin toss twice, you need to pay 2 yuan, if the two are the result of throwing coins face up, you will get 10 yuan.
