Victory over gambling, not impossible
Everyone has a childhood dream God of Gamblers, after seeing Chow Yun-Fat's "God of Gamblers" sleep with excitement.
We grow up to know, how every bet will win, it is 10 bet nine lost. Think, too, we have to win if the dealer what to eat.
The casino is someone else set up the bureau, no player can winning over 50%.
Even so, there are always a few people still can earn pours.
Movie "decisive battle 21-point" in the defeat of the casino case is true.
In full stochastic actuarial situation, blackjack dealer just follow the standard of play, will have a little bit of probability advantage, if gamblers in accordance with the highest standard of probability play, mostly small negative outcome, but to fight abuse of people lose probability greater.
But when the master note card skills, participants can note card based on the results of the remaining number of cards and calculate the probability of winning the right play and the remaining cards, there are special case of the licensing laws in the front, there will be gamblers winning hand the probability is greater than the dealer's.
Clever calculators to grasp this probability duel casino. In this case, you say he will win it? It really was not, that is a little more than casinos probability higher. But try enough times when this little probability difference really becomes a means of winning.
Probability rule the world
We know that gambling is a game of probability, it is also the result of some fancy gambling caused a mathematician Pascal (Pascal) and mathematician Fermat (Fermat) interest in them through exchanges of letters, made some of the principles of probability theory, which the probability of establishing a foundation to learn.
They did not expect: the value of probability theory would be far beyond their imagination.
World War II, British and American convoys are often subjected to attacks on German submarines, British and American headache for this purpose.
At this time, the US military found several mathematicians, said after the mathematician on the analysis of probability:
This is actually a problem of probability. A number of boats, the smaller the formation, the more of arrangement, the more of arrangement, the probability of encounter with the greater enemy, so we should reduce the formation.
Navy accepted the recommendations of the Anglo-American mathematician, the command set of the fleet in the designated area, and then together through dangerous waters.
The result is really a miracle occurred: the probability of attacks on Allied fleet suffered, from 25 percent down to about 1%, thus ensuring the timely supply of materials.
Supreme Allied Commander Dwight D. Eisenhower sigh: "a mathematician role in more than 10 divisions."
Mathematician Laplace famously said:
Life's most important question, the vast majority are essentially probability problems.
The world belongs to those who understand probability, but also good at creating conditional probability.
Do not be someone else's denominator
19th century, boxing popular in Europe. There is competition, there is gambling.
There impoverished postman, at the same time send a letter to send parcels, incidentally also sell gaming data, earn a little money.
One day, he whim: "two boxers game, either win or lose, the prediction success rate of about 50%, if I can do something in this article do?"
So he would let users send a letter 1000, he said: "I have a game inside information, A will win."
Then gave another 1000 users send a letter saying: "I have a game inside information, B win."
This time, A won.
Then he will receive A win users divided into two groups, of which 500 would let the user wrote to say: "I have a game inside information, C win."
Give another 500 user wrote: "I have a game inside information, D win."
This time, D win.
Then he will receive D will win the users into two groups, of which 250 would let the user wrote to say: "I have a game inside information, E win."
Give another 250 user wrote: "I have a game inside information, F win."
This time, E won.
Three consecutive completely correct, it would be for 250 users postman Jingruo gods, have to spend big money to buy news from him, the postman immediately earned a pours.
Lives are so many scams, but that is a liar Bureau set of probability.
Stock operator, there are many practitioners, promises to give you the bull stock can rise much, in fact, he is the use of the knowledge of probability, you are just a part of the denominator, if you have the opportunity to become a three molecules will think, Wow, this good man regressed, be sure to follow him.
Hee hee are all benefits to, the world Rangrang are all benefits to, if you make money, he also how to make money, a little half a brain knows that if he regressed so, how do they muffled fortune, but also to bring you make money, you familiar with him?
Wait until finished harvesting this wave, he will disappear in your sight, then repeat to do the same thing.
How to increase the probability of winning
Focus on those same points
Amazon founder Bezos was asked, in a rapidly changing age of the Internet, business owners how to develop their own strategy?
Bezos said:
I often ask the question:?? "In the next 10 years, what changes there will be but I rarely asked in the next 10 years, what is the same I think the second issue more important than the first question, because you will need your strategy based on the same thing. "
Amazon's Bezos is positioned as the Earth's most customer-centric company, he would "teach customers thanks to" carry out a thorough:
Hey, do not ask us what is good, but to ask who our consumers are, what they need. After that, we have to find methods to meet their needs.
Bezos certainly know that customer demand is changing, of course, know customers seeking to cost-effective unlimited. In business, the same thing is customer-centric, the customer is unlimited pursuit of cost-effective, is to the maximum value and minimal cost every minute.
Bezos read the same thing on this business, read one of the things on the road this business, so his 20-year strategy for the Amazon is very clear: Amazon 20 years, the strategy is based on the same thing; while providing unlimited options, shopping experience and the lowest top price.
Bezos saw the story, I was thinking, for us personally, which is able to seize the same ability? Regardless of the ever-changing, these capabilities will always be just to be.
Some time ago I saw Wu's "Knowledge" book, which said a word
In many cases, success or failure depends on the level of experience, rather than a simple effort.
See constantly broaden our horizon, so that he saw more of the world;
Knowledge is thought to increase their concentration, social, human nature can have profound and independent views.
Increase their knowledge, it should be the people should pursue a lifetime thing.
"See," includes read a trip, guiding teacher. "See" ability is the core competitiveness of the future will not change. We should do is stare at myself in the end there is no increase in their own "see" capability.
Luo Zhenyu often mentioned in the program to their friends, ask a certain question. For example, a program he says, "One time I chat with Mr. Liu, I'll ask him, most start-up companies should pay attention to what" this is the guiding teacher.
Of course, we may not have such connections him, but now so many courses on the Internet, dozens of money can hear, if not like a book, like Tun Tun course is like. You can also participate in some activities, except to get to know the teachers, but also to get to know some excellent companions.
Read a trip Needless to say, the essence of classic books are masters of wisdom "go for a walk to see different scenery, different people can develop their own vision, their original understanding does not understand a thing.
In addition to the ability to "see" is even capable of "consciousness.", It is to see the contents, after processing, into their own opinions, thereby increasing the concentration of their own thinking, "see" only and "knowledge" in conjunction with together, it becomes complete.
After reading a book, listening to the lesson, to think how to use his life and work, adhere to output, to see if things really mastered learned. Staring at this principle, we will never be eliminated.
If you say that life is a gamble, you want smart gamblers, gambler or abuse what does not matter?
With the right thinking, doing the right thing, the experience of failure as a stepping stone to the next step forward, a little to improve your chances of winning.
Reference:
Shanghai Securities News: Amazon CEO Jeff Bezos: The strategy is based on the same things
Cao Zheng: "Why do you do the Internet"
Recommended reading:
Wu Jun: "Knowledge"
David Hand (David Hand): "probability rule the world,"
Cao Zheng: "Why do you do the Internet"
Know me know that I generally read the introduction began a letter of recommendation, puff puff puff.
Happy moment:
My husband was teaching his son to learn, son retorted that everything you do is score. Her husband said: "is not everything, but it can determine your wife's face, I was Baba did not learn, so to find your mother!"
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welfare:
I am concerned about the number of public "Chi brother grow notes" (ID: zhige-me), backstage reply "1" to obtain million books. Attention to the next Fanger Wei code scanning.
