Record sales forecast results

baseline:

rmsle1=0.0454     rmsle3=0.0450   rmsle7=0.0433

 

1, only sales

rmsle=0.0392

 

2, sales, weekday

rmsle=0.0373

 

 

 

Week sales forecast:

baseline:

rmsle2: 0.029815477426626328 (recent average two weeks of sales)

 

1, sales, weekday

rmsle = 0.0294

 

2, sales, weekday, monthday

rmsle = 0.0238

 

3, sales, weekday, monthday, the difference

rmsle = 0.0232

4 time, training time processing outliers, the test sample does not deal with outliers