What news has recently affected the trend of gold? How to study and judge the long and short of gold?
Analysis of gold news: There was heavy data last week that the Federal Reserve raised interest rates. Gold fluctuated frequently due to its impact, with an overall space of 40 US dollars. But the process has had its ups and downs. Looking at the closing line, gold ushered in a small negative cross star line after rising for three consecutive weeks, and the bullish momentum has weakened. The negative impact of raising interest rates last Thursday began to appear. Since 1982, it plummeted by 40 US dollars. Although it rebounded retaliatoryly last Friday, the high point of 1963 just reached around 50% of the current round of decline. In the short term, it is still under the control of short energy. This week is a week of relatively concentrated news. The U.S. ADP employment data will be released at 20:15 on Wednesday night, commonly known as small non-agricultural. ; At 20:30, the US weekly jobless data will be released. On Friday, at 20:30, the US non-farm employment data will be released. The announcement of so many important news, for example, will affect the volatility of the gold market, especially the non-agricultural data on Friday, which may guide the direction of the gold market outlook.
Gold market trend analysis and operation suggestions
Technical analysis of gold: The weekly gold closed with a small negative cross star. After rising for three consecutive weeks, such a close is obviously a signal of stagflation. Looking at the trend of the past seven days on the daily line, it has been in a downward trend since the high in 1987, and the top and bottom are constantly moving down. The initial stage of the dead cross on the MACD zero axis is expected to continue in the short term. From a four-hour perspective, the rebound around 1963 was just around 50% of the 1942-1982 volatility rebound, while the 1987-1942 top-to-bottom band rebound was around 1965, which was the 50% point of the rebound. From the point of view of the rebound high point, it is still in short control. Both the MACD fast and slow lines are below the zero axis, and the fast line turns upwards. At the hourly level, due to the strong short-term rebound, the MACD fast line has crossed the zero axis, and the slow line is about to cross the zero axis. The bullish momentum is still relatively strong. However, the upper part of 1965-70 is a strong pressure zone, and the market daily line does not stand on the 1970 short-term long-short watershed. It is difficult for bulls to make a big difference. The key point below is 1940, which is the 50% retracement point from the rise from 1893 to 1987, and is also an important threshold for the previous upward breakthrough; followed by 1929, which is the retracement of the Fibonacci rising wave at 61.8 The position of % is also a watershed between long and short in the medium term. The daily line breaks down, and gold has completely entered the mid-term decline. To sum up, the trend of gold this week is inferred to fall first and then rebound, and the overall trend is mainly to fall.
Suggestions for short-term operation of gold
Empty order strategy:
Gold rebound: 2/10 short position (buy down) around 1960-1963, stop loss 8 points, target around 1950-1940, the suggestion is for reference only, investment is risky, and you need to be cautious when entering the market!
Multi-single strategy:
Gold pulls back around 1940-1943 to take a two-tenth position (buy up), stop loss 8 points, target around 1950-1960, the suggestion is for reference only, investment is risky, and you need to be cautious when entering the market!
Peng Guangzhe—Speak the truth to friends who invest
When you read this article by Peng Guangzhe, it proves that your operation is not ideal, but you are not reconciled. I am not reconciled to having all my funds taken away by the market in this market. But where is the problem, friends, please rationally analyze why you are always slower than others. Guangzhe has always emphasized that to reasonably control positions, the main focus is to control risks. If you want to make an investment overnight, you will have a hundred nights to regret it. What we learn is knowledge, and what we accumulate is wealth! There are no 100% orders in this market, and there will always be mistakes. What the market lacks is not a teacher or a strategy, but a qualified risk controller. If you are always the same on the road of investment, then you are a real failure!
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