Gold trend analysis:
In 2030, yesterday’s short sale obviously fell to 2010 with a profit of 20 US dollars, but this profit is too small. The long and short positions basically had a large order of more than 2 billion yesterday. Obviously this is a wash or a bottom. We will wait and see the market in the later period. If it is a bottom and continues to rise, then basically 2070 is all about breaking the position, otherwise it is meaningless if there is such a big movement. If it is a wash and change, then the break of the 2000 or even 1990 area will be adjusted again within three days. Then since the main force suddenly squats, if there is still a rise in the closing market 2030 , If the market closes around 2024, then the market will obviously fluctuate from 2003 to 2035. Anyway, I personally will not chase more in 2030. Even if you do a long high and adjust 20 US dollars to participate in advance and retreat freely, what technology you say at this time is obviously pale, and it is a bullish The only thing that can be done is that the upside in 2030 is uncertain, but the gap opened at 1867 in March has not been filled, so there is a high probability of backtesting, and there is no upside of $200 in 2030 after 10,000 steps, but if it falls, it will be easy 200 USD space, so only those who are destined to travel! After this decline, you can go short in 2025. If you break through the 1996 area, you will be short in the rebound in 2010!
For the serious losses in the early stage, I personally think that 2030 is an opportunity. You can follow us to gradually change the dormant layout before the market. This is the same as the last two price drops in 2070, and the same as the rise in 1620. These are both historical highs and new lows. You Going short in 2030, the middle line is also good, 10,000 US dollars 0.2 position participation target 1867 is also a profit of 4,000 US dollars per order, of course you have to go back and forth to control the position, the more you do it, the higher it is, or you enter the market with a new high stop loss of 8 US dollars, No loss, no short-term chasing ups and downs , then here is the swing band, you will see the price of 2030 and the price of 1620 in a year, maybe less than a few times . All the way up, Ukraine crisis 130 all the way down 65. So when all of you are greedy and the trend is long, you are short in batches, and everyone is bearish and chasing short. You can take a long position. This is a game of market logic. It is not clear where it will rise, and there is no need to guess, but banks are hedging risks The bankruptcy gap of 1867 has not been filled, so the larger the space above, the higher the profit of your midline layout, the higher the profit of shorting the midline layout, the strict entry into the market in batches, 8 US dollars loss, the loss waits for a new high to re-enter, as long as the momentum declines, at any time Profit-taking and everything comes back, even if the safe-haven funds rise when gold rises, the safe-haven funds are temporary, but they will not last for a long time. That is to say, the change will be around April 17.
Tao Hongda’s suggestion for short-term gold operation: short rebound at 2030, stop loss at 2038, target at 2010-2000, long at 2003, stop loss at 1995, target at 2023, medium and long-term operation suggestions: rebound at 2035-2040, stop loss at 2055, Goal Look 1950-1920-1875-1833-1806-1780
Crude oil trend analysis:
Analysis of crude oil news: In the U.S. market on April 5 (Wednesday), U.S. crude oil traded around $ 80.5 per barrel; oil prices were limited on Tuesday as investors matched OPEC +'s production cut plan with weak U.S. economic data On balance, the data could show cooling demand for oil; data from the American Petroleum Institute (API) said U.S. crude and product inventories both fell last week, with crude inventories falling by about 4.3 million barrels in the week ended March 31, gasoline Stockpiles fell by about 4 million barrels and distillate inventories fell by about 3.7 million barrels. OPEC+ production cuts will support short-term prices and may push the oil market into a state of supply shortage. It is expected that the average price of Brent crude oil in 2023 will be $85/barrel. OPEC+ production cuts increase the possibility that the market will turn into a supply shortage in the second half of 2023. Increased OPEC pricing power, the ability to raise prices without seriously damaging its demand, is a key economic driver, analysts said, estimating output cuts would boost revenue for OPEC+ as higher prices would outweigh lower output . The implementation rate of the 1.66 million bpd production cut plan is expected to be close to 90%, citing that countries that announced further production cuts have a good compliance record and that these countries have implemented nearly 100% of the October 2022 production reduction plan by January 2023. 90%. In general, although the weak data in the United States exacerbated the fear of economic recession, and the resumption of oil exports in the Kurdish Autonomous Region limited the rise in oil prices, but the data still needs to pay attention to the non-agricultural data in the United States this week ; , oil prices still maintain a shock upward view.
Crude oil technical analysis: Crude oil tested high yesterday and closed flat. The daily line continued to arrange two cross K-lines. The inertia went up to 81.70 and the first line was under pressure. Backtested to 79.50, it still closed at a relatively high level in late trading, temporarily holding above 79.0 . The daily line is still close to the previous high point of 82.0-82.60. It is still in a sideways arrangement. Only by breaking through the high point of 82.60 can it open up space, otherwise the daily line will still fluctuate widely. In the 4-hour chart, there is a mid-yin line that has risen and fallen, and still recovered most of the lost ground in the late trading, that is, it failed to close at a low level after the rise and fall, which made the space for short-term backtesting limited. Today, it is not ruled out to continue to touch the high repeatedly, but considering Close to 82.0-82.60 resistance, not sure about a direct breakthrough today. So that there is no upside space in the short-term, the steady point is to temporarily pay attention to the breakout of the resistance and then decide the position of the operation, and the bottom long defense is to focus on 79.0. These two positions determine the continuation of long and short. Before breaking through, the short-term may still be accompanied by repeated rushing The way of moving from high to low, the operation is more tested on the entry point, the point is the front, the trend is the back, and the specifics are subject to the intraday market. On the whole, today's crude oil short-term operation idea is to focus on the first-line resistance of 82.0-82.5 at the top, and the first-line support of 79.6-79.1 at the bottom in the short-term.
Tao Hongda’s suggestion for crude oil operation: short rebound at 82.5, stop loss at 83.2, target at 80, step back at 79 and go long, stop loss at 78.3, target at 82
The article does not have too much gorgeous language and chicken soup, purely technical analysis posts, I believe that what every reader lacks is not chicken soup, but real analysis and powerful theories, writing is not easy, I hope to bring you some trading experience Help, and finally I wish you all a happy transaction.