1 Question C: Is it global warming?
Canada's 49.6°C created a new record for the temperature in areas above 50° north latitude on the earth, and hundreds of people died from the high temperature within a week; the US state of California was 54.4°C, which was the highest temperature ever recorded on Earth; Kuwait was 53.5°C , even over 70°C in sunlight, and over 50°C in many countries in the Middle East.
We've seen a ton of amazing temperature reports this year. The fact that the Earth is burning is beyond doubt. Italy has again set a European temperature record with a staggering 48.8°C after horrific heat conditions in these regions from late June to early July, with many countries declaring a heat emergency in Italy
Global warming is a phenomenon related to nature. This is due to the continuous accumulation of the greenhouse effect, resulting in an imbalance in the energy absorbed and released by the Earth's atmospheric system, and the continuous accumulation of energy in the Earth's atmospheric system, resulting in temperature rise and global warming.
Before the Industrial Revolution, carbon dioxide (CO2) was around 280 parts per million (ppm) in the atmosphere. Concentrations of CO2 in the atmosphere reached 377.7 ppm in March 2004, resulting in the largest average increase over the then 10-year period. [1] According to scientists from the National Oceanic and Atmospheric Administration (NOAA) and the Scripps Institution of Oceanography (SIO), the average monthly CO2 concentration level will reach 421 ppm in May 2022. [2] An Organization for Economic Co-operation and Development (OECD) report predicted a CO2 level of 685ppm by 2050. [3]
The APMCM Organizing Committee has asked your team to address current reports and projections of future global temperature levels. They provided the dataset 2022_APMCM_C_Data. csv containing 239177 records to assist your research.
Require
**1. Do you agree with the statement about global temperature? ** Use 2022_APMCM_C_Data. Attached is the csv and other datasets collected by your team to analyze global temperature change.
a) Do you agree that the increase in global temperature in March 2022 resulted in a greater increase than during the past 10 years? Why or why not?
b) Based on historical data, please build two or more mathematical models to describe the past and predict future global temperature levels.
c) Use each of the models in 1(b) to project global temperatures in 2050 and 2100, respectively. Do your models agree with the projections that the average temperature at global observation points will reach 20.00°C by 2050 or 2100? If not in 2050 or 2100, when will the mean temperature of the observation points in your forecast model reach 20.00°C?
d) Do you think the model of 1(b) is the most accurate? Why
2. What is the cause of the temperature change?
a) Use the results of question 1 and the data in the attachment 2022_ APMCM_C_ Data. csv and other data sets collected by your team, build a mathematical model to analyze the relationship (if any) between global temperature, time and location, and explain this relationship or prove that there is no relationship between them.
b) Please collect relevant data and analyze the factors of natural disasters (such as volcanic eruptions, forest fires, COVID-19, etc.). Does this have any effect on global temperature?
c) What do you think are the main causes of global temperature change?
d) Do you think there are any measures to curb or slow down global warming?
2 Problem-solving ideas
LSTM weather forecast reference code
