Zhang Xinhong talks about the future trend of digital economy in Shenzhen
CCTV Minsheng.com, August 29, Shenzhen News (Reported by Yi Quan Yudi) Zhang Xinhong, Chief Information Officer of the National Information Center and Director of the Sharing Economy Research Center, on August 27, the first Shenzhen (International) Artificial Intelligence hosted by the Shenzhen Artificial Intelligence Industry Association At the exhibition, how to grasp and make good use of the development trend of the digital economy in the real economy, and what opportunities does the digital economy provide us? He delivered a speech entitled "Artificial Intelligence Promotes the Development of the Real Economy".
Zhang Xinhong pointed out that it is necessary to grasp the four trends of future digital economy development from the perspective of technology application and development, namely, digitalization, networking, digitization, and intelligence. In addition, from the perspective of application scenarios and starting points, we must grasp the four characteristics of platformization, ecologicalization, personalization, and sharing. Together, they can be called the "Eight Modernizations", or the eight evolution directions for the future development of the digital economy. The real economy uses the eight main tools for the development of the digital economy. Zhang Xinhong said with a smile that this is the "three dragons and eight parts" of the development of the digital economy.
First, digitization.
"Digitalization is the process of transforming our real world into zero and one. Why should it be transformed into zero and one? Because computers know two numbers, one is zero and one is one. When the world can be transformed into zero-sum At a time, the machine can recognize it, calculate it, and guide humans to change it.”
Zhang Xinhong gave a large number of examples to illustrate that because of digitalization, cross-industry competition has become the norm, such as ordering food delivery to defeat Instant noodles; the emergence of online ride-hailing has defeated traditional taxis. The reason why online car-hailing can win the competition is because of the big data and high-speed computing in the background. It only takes 0.12 seconds from the time the customer presses the mobile phone to call the car to the confirmation that the vehicle will come to pick you up. In a short period of time, the background has already performed 1.6 billion calculations for it. Such a speed can be called "sacred calculation". How can it be possible to compete with the brains of taxi drivers?
Precisely because of digitization, the future of new automobiles will surely have a dimensionality reduction blow to the traditional automobile industry. This kind of dimensionality reduction attack has already appeared in many other fields, such as the impact of free antivirus software on the traditional antivirus software market; the dimensionality reduction attack on original physical stores and department stores after the emergence of e-commerce.
There are many other changes brought about by digitalization, such as the birth of mobile payment, which makes people more away from the use of cash today. China currently leads the world in the popularization of mobile payment, and the use of cash has become increasingly insignificant.
In the field of production, Zhang Xinhong said that the original large-scale production line has turned people into machines, but the collaborative production and collaborative manufacturing that are now being used have made machines smarter and more reliable than people. All of this is based on The role of digitalization. The changes not only caused changes in industries and products, but also caused major changes in the entire world economic structure. "The future competitive landscape is completely different from the original competitive landscape under industrial conditions." Zhang Xinhong emphasized that we must seize this unprecedented historic opportunity.
Zhang Xinhong believes that the real change brought about by digitization is that digital redefines everything. "Everything we are familiar with now needs to be redefined because it is different from before and needs to be re-understood."
Zhang Xinhong reminded that the definition is actually very simple. "Put everything you are familiar with and add the word'digital' in front of it, digital economy, digital society, digital enterprise, digital industry, digital home appliances, digital toilet..., after adding this word, you will find that you Everything you see is completely different and needs to be redefined.”
Second, networked The
Internet has reconstructed everything. The Internet connects all things together, from the earliest connection of independent computers in the world to the current connection of mobile phones, and then everyone is connected together.
Zhang Xinhong pointed out that it has now begun to develop from the connection of the mobile Internet to the connection of the Internet of Things. With the advent of the Internet of Things era, a large amount of data is increasing, and objects can flow freely and talk freely through connections. "They can decide what they want to do next"?
What will be after the Internet of Things? Zhang Xinhong believes that "it is very likely that all kinds of life will be connected next, so I named it the Internet of Life." At this time, people can talk freely with cats, dogs, fish, eagles and other animals, and humans can begin to use plants and animals. The wisdom of serving mankind. What to connect with in the future? "I don't know, maybe we can connect all the planets together," Zhang Xinhong said.
When talking about the changes caused by network connections, Zhang Xinhong believed that network configuration has brought about major changes in the way resources are allocated. From the familiar and visible hand-the government to the invisible hand-the market, now There is a third force, the network (Internet). He pointed out that the allocation of resources on the Internet can concentrate all the supply and demand on one platform, thus generating a large number of new innovations. He praised and reminded the concept of Internet +, which is to combine all the attributes and functions of the Internet with the respective industries. All important things and every change process are connected together.
In terms of understanding of the Internet, Zhang Xinhong emphasized that it can be a channel, an infrastructure, a technology and a tool, or a culture, a kind of thinking, or an Internet thinking. Zhang Xinhong believes that in order to adapt to the increasingly rich changes in Internet functions, "all must be added", that is, to make their respective industry content all Internet-based. He emphasized that he can’t be satisfied with simply putting information on the Internet, so that the Internet will simply be used as a medium; if I only sell things online, then I will simply use it as a channel, "the function of the Internet It's definitely more than that."
Zhang Xinhong pointed out that all elements, direct elements and indirect elements, human, machine, plant, production line, R&D, design, sales and other elements, as well as every change process, should be superimposed with various elements of the Internet. "You will find countless new combinations, infinite combinations of different sequences. These infinite combinations mean infinite innovation." "This is the true meaning of Internet +", Zhang Xinhong emphasized.
Zhang Xinhong quoted Schumpeter’s theory of innovation as a change in the production function, pointing out that any change in a small factor means a new innovation. “Internet + provides such an opportunity for innovation.” He pointed to new innovations in recent years. The emergence of terms, new business formats, and new models is because new information technology represented by the Internet has been deeply integrated with traditional industries. It has become a major symbol of the Internet's transformation of traditional industries.
Zhang Xinhong then pointed out part of the new generation of information technology portfolio represented by the Internet, such as the Internet, mobile Internet, Internet of Things, big data, cloud computing, 3D printing, AR, VR, quantum computing, blockchain, etc. He believes Only by adding all these new contents can it be the real future Internet+. In view of this, Zhang Xinhong believes that the true meaning of networking is that it is a major change in the way resources are allocated.
Third, dataization
Zhang Xinhong pointed out that all future actions and decisions will depend on data-driven, "so it is called data-driven everything." People's travel and even visitors are now more deeply affected by data, and data determines your actions. If you lose your mobile phone or data, you may have trouble walking. It is reflected in everything from going to a hotel, driving with a navigation system, or going to a bank branch to do business.
Zhang Xinhong also keenly pointed out the shortcomings of excessive digitization, which is the formation of a digital divide for some people who are not good at using digital means. For the relatively disadvantaged groups in the popularization of modern methods, it obviously constitutes a certain degree of discrimination. He called on government management departments and some technology development companies, "When considering using new methods to innovate products and apply them to management, can they pay more attention to the elderly, the disabled and the disadvantaged?"
Fourth, intelligentization
Artificial intelligence will increasingly replace humans in the future and create more value for us. Zhang Xinhong believes that the artificial intelligence we are talking about currently contains mostly artificial components and few intelligent components. He believes that "in the future, we will move from weak intelligence to strong intelligence and super intelligence." The future world will be very different from the present.
From the perspective of technological development trends and application levels, he then talked about these four "transitions".
Fifth, platformization.
No platform is not economical. Zhang Xinhong emphasized that large enterprises must find ways to build platforms, while SMEs and small and
micro enterprises "if they are not able to build a platform, at least they must make good use of the existing platform and use the platform for themselves Empowerment."
Sixth, ecological
Platform-based "borderless" development will definitely lead to ecologicalization. Zhang Xinhong explained that once a large amount of demand and supply accumulates on the platform, new supply and new demand will be generated. He reminded that “the future ecological strategy will definitely be the goal orientation of enterprise development.”
He further explained A traditional enterprise is like a tree. No matter how big it grows, the annual ring will only increase by a small one per year, which is limited; but the ecology will automatically produce new ones. "You don't know what new species will appear." For example, Baidu started as a search company, but its most powerful thing now is not search, but self-driving cars; Ali is engaged in e-commerce, but it is far beyond The category of e-commerce companies.
Seventh, personalization
In the digital age, everyone is unique. People search for a keyword on the cloud desktop, and the results should be different. This is because the relevant information has been widely grasped and the needs have been grasped. . Because everyone is unique, this makes future production a personalized customization, and service will also become a personalized service.
Eighth, sharing
Sharing is a new stage of economic development, and everything that can be shared will be shared. Zhang Xinhong reminds people to learn to use the sharing economy thinking to maximize the value of their superior resources; at the same time, they must also use the sharing economy methods and thinking to "share in" the urgently needed resources. Zhang Xinhong believes that "sharing economy will become a major development trend" for large or small companies, urban or rural areas.
Zhang Xinhong’s in-depth interpretation of the "Eight Transformations" of the digital economy development trend in Shenzhen, which is the frontier city of digital economy development, echoes the "intelligence changes the future • innovation leadership" of this exhibition and related forums. The main content of the speech left a deep impression on the audience.