行情到底能否预测？技术面的推演到底有没有适用性？
过去讲解过于K线的理解，在个人的观点里，K线其实就是一种语言，就看你有没有掌握这种语言。全世界那么多种语言，不懂英文当然看不懂英文杂志，靠着杂志上的配图，去猜测杂志的大体意思，有时候猜中，有时候直接曲解。这和通过K线预演行情实质上一样，当你通过曲解的思路交易，必然会有损失，读懂K线，才能交易制胜。
特别是币圈，本身靠着自导自演的消息面，圈子游戏，很难从宏观经济上解读币市后期发展，对于散户只有技术面分析这一条路可走，对于长期研究技术面的人士，这是一个比股市还简单容易套利的市场。对于小白，则相反，凭感觉下单，太容易受到消息面的蛊惑，最终被庄牵着鼻子走，沦为韭菜的下场。
针对小白，怎么提升K线语言解读的技能，也就显得至关重要。怎么提升，给几点建议：
1, do not blind yourself wondering, do not listen to the so-called analysts blind force force, more reading. Analysts great ability level differences, and even some analysts have been followed to lose money trading habits, learn what is the use, only harm, but how to distinguish between white, to understand the distinction between when the principal has to make a loss. The basis of pre-built, not every one, but can not shoddy, books is the best teacher you can book as a textbook, there must be a classic place. K Line have not read more than three books, trade books more than three, do not be traded, go back to reading.
2, a higher degree of focus, learning is a long process. Put an end to learn a trick, consider themselves invincible to think of Huashan Mountain. Because it is not swordfight, it is Fanjian due to pumping, pumped a few markets, the loss of money, it is honest. According to 24 hours a day, continued investment in 14 hours, even if staring past trends, constantly sum up experience, a year later, you should be able to remain loss. Then a few years, the market is your cash machine. Of course, we can not put 14 hours a day, but also the infinite stretch your cycle, for the average amateur players, a day, two hours, at least 7 years of achievements.
3, read K-line, multi-focus homophonic. Too often a pun, in the face of this type of trend, and more waiting, less hands-on, or even if you read, it merely know a little, a little guess, or return to the original state, guess-based trading , that long lost.
4, seen enough books, combat is necessary, can deepen understanding. Child learning Chinese, not you read the first few characters, will speak well, to understand the article. For example: Again a question mark, is positive to ask, or ask? This requires you to understand the basis on K, understand trends, understand the transaction. This is also why, learning Chinese will arrange for so much homework, only to do the title, will be used to deepen the understanding of the text.
5, Mountains Beyond Mountains, and people, to look at famous deal. Any market there are geeks, and more good people to learn to move closer, learn each other director, continue to integrate into their own trading system, you will find that from another angle, K-line world is not the same scenery.
今日已经是第二天的大幅下行，继昨天超过10%的跌幅之后，今日再续前缘，延续昨日跌幅，完美持续下行走势。何时止跌，何时入场现货，这应该是我们这一派系的研究重点了，毕竟到现在现货还是没有一个子。
相对昨日的回调，价格大力下行，已经开始有一定的迟疑性，其中ETC在下午4点附近收回日内跌幅，说明今日抄底资金相较昨日更为疯狂。几乎游离资金在这两天会基本落定。
有抄底资金的进入，并不意味着，此时是最好的时机入场。市场哀嚎时买进，连续两天大阴的哀嚎，只是短暂的，哀嚎也分持续哀嚎和短期出现哀嚎，真正的合理或者说理智的进场，需要市场持续哀嚎。显然此时，还是这么疯狂的抄底资金，大机率还要继续新低。所谓，压死人的是最后一根稻草，市场需要最后一根稻草的出现，彻底迫使前期抄底资金崩溃。故而，现在的行情已经处于现货的布局边缘，轻仓慢慢逢低点入场，是可以考虑，即在不考虑极致点位的情况下，又怕踏空者。当然个人是喜欢追求极致点位，理性上，调整的时间还不够，真的波段低点，要么不给反应时间，要么跌的让人害怕不敢买。目前价格虽下行幅度较大，但还真不是个人选择入场的时刻。
下面，我们通过技术面走势，看是否能够验证以上的观点。以以太坊为例：
On the daily trend is currently below the previous low, the formation of a new round of callback trend, according to trend trading, then fell below 210, is chasing empty action, the trend seen as empty, then the time of admission spot , still upwind, even if the price correction in greater depth. On the corresponding chips, now, the short amount of heavy volume callback, even with the rebound in touch lows, it was only rebounded slightly on sharply lower, homeopathy does not consider long.
Hour Ethernet Square, the current price tumbled to the continuation of pre-run channel, the channel has been slightly touched lows, prices can eventually stabilized in the channel, channel or break down once again brewing kill all guess, guess boring . The MACD indicator is worth learning the trend this time of repair, since MACD is not strong upside, once again Sicha down, out of a high probability of another round next kill.
综合以上的观点，此刻哪怕想要入场，只能轻仓先进，再连续震荡之后不跌，或者持续再跌，则不断逢低买。至于个人的交易，更倾向于再等几天，行情出现震荡走势的表现，再做定论。给出跟自己交易不一样的想法，主要是不愿自己一旦踏空，所有人踏空，那就罪过了。毕竟不是每一个人和我一样，不怕踏空的。
[BTC] March 09 Trading Guide
No. 3 March Trading Guide
Bitcoin, sharing on FIG 4 hours chart, the general trend from the first perspective, trend analysis as simple as possible, unwieldy market characteristics, forming a determined trend, not easily turn. It is very obvious, yet now Bitcoin U-turn.
Tip of the early pressure 2: 8960, 6 am up to the 8964 offensive, the test pressure has 2, indicating that the market bulls counterattack efforts bull mood is more serious, but that does not mean that reverse open market, temporarily or healthy pullback after rebound. Key support for the open space below: 8230 ~ 8530 still exist on the presence of short-term trend up and down movement of the wind, or maybe a small break 8960, but the intensity is not too much, do not chase gone up is the key to open the second weekly day, the shadow of the building made perfect, be alert to the risk of falls Powei support. Spot arrangements temporarily next week to see if the opportunity Jiancang, but not absolute.
Reference pressure: 8960,9230
Reference support: 8230 ~ 8530 7600 ~ 7210 range.
No. 5 March Trading Guide
Again counterattack, but still does not break the key point, near 9200, and the prices continue to choose the direction of earnings is triggered warehouse tracking, we have to leave. As for how to do the following single real-time, not much involved here, live one-to mustard-based. Grasp the key range of 9100 - 9230, as well as to stabilize the rebound. Not stabilized, Where It Comes.
March 07 Trading Guide
Focus on two key points from top to bottom, is very strong guidelines for short-term direction of the market outlook.
Top: near 9210
Bottom: near 8920
Near where the 9210 guidelines to short and medium term, mainly to see whether up broken bits stabilized. 8920 is a short-term effect, focusing on whether Powei down stabilize.
The general direction of, or to maintain the trend analysis on the deduction 0303, in theory, without heavy volume, approaching the end of the rally.
No. 8 March Trading Guide
Period of 8920 on concern downward broken stabilized, according to the current amplitude, is considered stabilized, the trend is also engaged in the direction of the 0303 rehearsal, as of now 22:20, the price is below the previous day's low, short momentum is still strong, there is a chance at killing.
Spot reference: near 6150
No. 9 March Trading Guide
There is also mentioned last kill the next opportunity, the next perfect kill again. At this point, no longer suitable for short blind, low uncertainty, but also a wait and see attitude.
Spot reference price still remains the same: near 6150.
[EOS] March 09 Trading Guide
No. 1 March Trading Guide
Grapefruit currency last round of a major correction is already a perfect rehearsal for the next trend, focusing on the extreme pressure of 3.7 to 3.95, for a long time is not offensive, expected evolution will be as shown above, broken 3.0
Reference short-term pressure: 3.7 ~ 3.95
March 2 Trading Guide
Current price rebounded to 3.61, has been getting closer from 3.7 to 3.95, upward pressure on prices gradually strengthened, while concerned about its trend-hour chart, and the prices run triangular shock yesterday spicy bar final down below, led Bitcoin with broken low, its nature as a guide, grapefruit is expected out of low trend, after breaking down triangle, the transaction can be appropriately small ambush stop short space, grab Powei trend. Yesterday the pressure range remains unchanged.
March 5 Trading Guide
Analysis is still valid deduction, with emphasis on effective stabilization of 3.7 to 3.95.
Spot temporarily be broken after another batch interval 3.0 layout.
March 07 Trading Guide
Currently within the range of 3.7 to 3.95 Forced price is still No. 1 given direction selection is very close, if present trends continue downward trend of the past, or take repeated market trend, more attention a few days later the trend will soon have answer.
No. 8 March Trading Guide
Forced range of 3.7 to 3.95, the current price trend, it has been confirmed that perfect, trend analysis in accordance with arrow 0301 all the way down, the body of an analysis of grapefruit, not much to say here, given grapefruit spot reference price: nearby 2.6
No. 9 March Trading Guide
Yesterday the body, there will be the trend again falls, falls again today. Short position after another profit, but also direct all the profit out, wait for the next trading signals.
[ETH] March 09 Trading Guide
March 3 Trading Guide
Ethernet Square from the continuous rise in pre-construction, into the triangular shock, fell below the waterfall into the concussion, concussion near the high point for the 235, 235 and 240 of the pre-positioning as a pressure belt, is still valid. There are opportunities on short-term upside, in accordance with the current interim analysis, there is no effective stabilized above 240, medium to high altitude-based ideas.
Reference pressure: 235 to 240 unchanged
No. 5 March Trading Guide
235 or even touch are not in place, up to 234.11, the trend shock after the correction, the market outlook is still relatively stable based on a breakthrough deal, but a short fast frequency-based, short-term shocks are crawling track on the profit stop thinking get on.
March 07 Trading Guide
No. 6 counterattack highest price to 241.39, perfectly into the range of 235 to 240, and today is the emergence of random movements, that is, on the basis of the analysis, the next day out of the small high prices, this time in accordance with the transaction, is now available to point bit range, half the random market trends, 80% chance for admission empty, wind control the ultimate control in the vicinity of 252 random quotes, small stop only the profit of large transactions in the market overall was born in random.
No. 8 March Trading Guide
On one say, the market random high point, is already feasible point range, can be empty, is empty, you can continue to receive rice, do not take the initiative to earn warehouse out, learn to do only the profit down to stop the action, specific can refer to the text to explain the 0304's. About how to use stop-loss only profit.
Spot reference price: 165 nearby
No. 9 March Trading Guide
When the market appears random, admission is empty, you can consider all the warehouse, waiting for the next signal the market. And other individuals in the spot admission time.
[BCH] March 09 Trading Guide
March 07 Trading Guide
Bit on cash movements, the current round is fairly standard, in strict accordance with the operation of the trend, the focus frame figure out the recent concussion, broken bits after market high probability in the little blue box, select the direction of the final out. As previous trends support 352, turn at this stage extreme pressure. The direction of the market outlook, generally understood as effectively broken up, 400 chance of assault, continued to stabilize and could not break 352, compared with 300 Charge Po Wei, is expected to reach the bottom of the pending stock range. So it is still carried out in the Department of Buddhist thinking disk access.
No. 8 March Trading Guide
352 key points mentioned yesterday, ultimately failed to stabilize prices currently taking Charge Powei 300, or continue down the probability of large, before giving the spot reference price can do some fixes:
Spot hung in three into 240 to 220, based consideration of Buddha.
No. 9 March Trading Guide
Distance lodging spot prices have been gradually approaching, three percent of the admission, the individual is entrusted with, once the transaction, the market outlook becomes fixed investment continues to bargain spot.
[LTC] March 09 Trading Guide
March 07 Trading Guide
Identify trends, sometimes thinking too much and not too much, which in the litecoin, reflected in very extreme. Once a direction of the operation, will be carried out continuously. According to key points of the current trend, the market is in the vicinity of 65, as long as prices do not rise 65 break the trend, a rebound empty ideas are carried out once the price crossed the threshold of 65, and stabilized, the market outlook is no longer short.
Cash consideration or start from 50 or less.
No. 8 March Trading Guide
On a say, they do not break up 65, are empty bounce ideas, has been confirmed, the corresponding trend in the mainstream currency, the decline trend is one of the most vicious, almost to the front below the previous low, according to the current former rhythm, below the low-just a matter of time.
Consider the spot price, to do the correction: a first gear 45 to 40 into three
No. 9 March Trading Guide
Well before the price fell below the low, even below 50, the lowest 47.17, the lowest price from the cash consideration has been very close, but trading scheme has been set, and the prices are low volatility, we can look forward to it.
[XRP] March 09 Trading Guide
Subsequent provisional below 0.2, 0.05 batch access interval is thinking.
No. 8 March Trading Guide
Spot reference price to do the correction: 0.18 to 0.15 as the first gear.
Above points do not have the trading conditions, only share exchange, money market risk, the transaction need to be cautious.
