Retail investors should be concerned about the problem
市场百分之80以上的人，都会询问交易牛人这么一个问题？这波行情最高能涨到哪里？啥时候能够去抄底？倘若得知一个明确的价格，一定在那个价格守候。
作为小散，有这种心理很正常，自己不可得知的答案，希望通过打听知道。如果能够打听到，你还会是小散吗？无论是摸棱两可的答案，还是非常明确点位，请记住，预演未来不是人干的事，你得到所谓的答案，不过换个更官方的人，陪你一起去猜。靠猜去做交易，这也就是为什么百分之80以上的人问，百分之80以上人亏的原因。
明确一点，未来行情是不可预测性，但风险是个人可把握。很流行一句话，风险越大，收益越大。这只是部分成功人士给你灌输的假概念，世界上有太多风险小，收益极大的情况。假话听一遍会怀疑，听一万遍就是真理。
怎么把控风险，方式方法很多，小散赚钱的研究重点，更应该关心的是，怎么赚多亏少，长期能够稳健收益的技巧。而不是停留在一个维度，在不断猜顶猜底中不断迷失自我，丢失本金。或许某几次蒙对了，但谁又会靠着几次的交易直接发财。
这就好比种庄稼，今年风调雨顺，收成大好，但是不是所有的年份都是这样呢？未必。为什么要有牛耕田，为什么要烧草木灰，为什么要定期的除草。。。这些都是种庄稼的技巧，确保一点，哪怕没有风调雨顺，秋天到了，也能有收获。
交易也是如此，与其将时间停留在猜顶猜底上，不如想想如何获得“种庄稼”技巧。不求常胜，但求长盈。
今天周线开线，昨天月线开线，行情在凌晨确实还是比较喜人的，价格直接下探，比特币破了新低，莱特币破了新低，其余的主流则依旧在原先瀑布后的震荡区间内运行。整体呈现出探低反弹的走势，这也是符合7数走势，BTC保持7天的时间走回调，行情最终在今日，未收尾的情况下，呈阳型。
各位看到这样的行情，是考虑跌不动多一些，还是考虑行情只是一个反弹修复走势？
谈谈个人的理解，用一个生活案例在解释：河水流淌的时候，会遇见两种情况，一种是石头，一种是水库大坝。遇见前者，会出现部分河水回流，但更多的是该怎么流淌就怎么流淌，水位不涨。遇见后者，是真正的拦截，水涨船高就此开始。
现在的走势，从形态上看，总体还是遇见“石头”的情况，不断出现探低反弹的走势，但总体水涨船高的迹象，并不没有出现，还是瀑布之后的震荡走势区间。
说到这，其实各位心中已经非常有数了，行情不是非得从技术面出发，不一定要将K线走势，画出花来，才可以得知后市。宇宙万物皆有规律，万法归一。
技术面上，本周的行情，提示一句，周线新开，趋势向下，但新开K线需要上影线的构筑才更得力，见涨不追涨。
受到BSV反攻 幅度超5%影响，整体主板有一定的带动反弹，再一次选择BSV领涨，已经是第三次，此时需要警惕，本身上攻的幅度也不是该拉升的幅度，见涨追涨，有可能陷入被动的局面。故而，即便此刻，整个主板有回暖迹象，个人暂不考虑入手现货。但有一点可以确定的是，再一次的杀多头，已经可以是现货的首批进场考虑时机。
[BTC] March 02 Trading Guide
No. 1 March Trading Guide
Bitcoin daily movements, count today is the seventh day of blood-red, bull defenseless, in accordance with the length of the K-line analysis, prices gradually strengthened from a one-day drop to gradually weaken, the probability is great rest stop halfway, Quotes have the opportunity to further expand the decline of the transaction, the bears were postponed early direction.
Pressure Reference 1: 2 8760 Pressure: 8960
March 2 Trading Guide
8760 has arrived today, as is currently the highest counterattack 8767, the first test pressure level, if not strong upside pressure testing 2, follow the trend of multi-kill, but also strong. On the other hand there is the opportunity to test pressure 2, after the stock market short of a retracement, short of the recession will be.
[EOS] March 02 Trading Guide
No. 1 March Trading Guide
Grapefruit currency last round of a major correction is already a perfect rehearsal for the next trend, focusing on the extreme pressure of 3.7 to 3.95, for a long time is not offensive, expected evolution will be as shown above, broken 3.0
Reference short-term pressure: 3.7 ~ 3.95
March 2 Trading Guide
Current price rebounded to 3.61, has been getting closer from 3.7 to 3.95, upward pressure on prices gradually strengthened, while concerned about its trend-hour chart, and the prices run triangular shock yesterday spicy bar final down below, led Bitcoin with broken low, its nature as a guide, grapefruit is expected out of low trend, after breaking down triangle, the transaction can be appropriately small ambush stop short space, grab Powei trend. Yesterday the pressure range remains unchanged.
Spot temporarily be broken after another batch interval 3.0 layout.
[ETH] March 02 Trading Guide
No. 1 March Trading Guide
Ethernet Square yesterday to start in mustard notice of 232.2 short contracts, the current price is already 221.3, the lowest morning dropping to 216.13, the stop loss has been moved to 231.3, we do not break this stop-loss line, as the mid-position. The figure given is the 5th cycle charts, the trend now, or have the opportunity to continue down the band, forming Evening Star, the weekly opening after tomorrow, a week's time whether down again, basically have the opportunity to take over the follow-up when finalized the spot price.
Reference pressure: 235 to 240
Support Reference 1: 201 with reference to the support 2: the support 178 Reference 3: 148
Sensibly, the spot from the vicinity of 200, 30U interval 6 times then, you can follow the pyramid model.
March 2 Trading Guide
Hourly chart trend, overall remain volatile trend continued down the high point, in the absence of pressure line Powei, pre empty, patience with trailing stop, guaranteed to see Italy.
[BCH] March 02 Trading Guide
No. 1 March Trading Guide
A bit of cash, the trend has been quite clear, shock upstream, shock downstream, very clear, now in shock downward trend, a rebound is empty rational thinking, more rational, to consider the random bits cash market trend, as pre-shock occurred during the upstream channel super run, the way is also a big shock down the probability, therefore the transaction when the BCH, there must be strict stop loss, the strict control of risk, based on the ideas of every altitude in the end. When reversed, it can be considered grab a rebound.
Bit reference pressure: 335 340,358 367
March 2 Trading Guide
BSV There is some counterattack, triggered Circle of Friends For historical memory, is ready to lure more unknown, but there is this tendency. BSV can hit more than 5 percent of the increase, although the current BCH is not much change, but not well taken lightly, according to trend close to 325 short-term pressure, but should not be hasty admission, stop-loss ratio is not within range. Or continue to reference the last bit of pressure.
Spot hung in three into 255 to 245, based consideration of Buddha.
[LTC] March 02 Trading Guide
No. 1 March Trading Guide
Figure a two-level trends, the level of small multi-turn empty, empty waves to form a large level of correction, the trend repeated in the space region, the market performance is very stalemate. Figure II therefore introduced, the price after continuous callback, go shock triangle, will face a selected direction. Given the key point: 60.4 57.8 Specific signals need to wait for breakthroughs can be taken to break the triangular trade operation of law.
March 2 Trading Guide
After breaking the triangle, the price in accordance with the established trend, breaking a new low today, affected by BSV, the price retested the nearby area 60.4, 60.4 at this time to the limit, and the prices down too short release, creating long again, to test more than 62 pressure still have a chance, the general direction is still to maintain short, not the reverse.
[XRP] March 02 Trading Guide
Subsequent provisional below 0.2, 0.05 batch access interval is thinking.
Above points do not have the trading conditions, only share exchange, money market risk, the transaction need to be cautious.
