What is a good way of thinking
What is a good way of thinking? Good or bad way of thinking may be different standards on different issues, but a good way of thinking have one thing in common: the "exact, to Clipsal" these words the "Art of War" means war military use upright war, and finally by the extra troops to win, rather than surprise. Reading "The Art of War" You'll find a great grandson is about the rules of man, not a greedy Homo habilis seek speed. When we do things, too, it is simply a method of fixing routine, something extra on top of this supplement.
Most of the time to stick to the fundamentals, not keen on heresy. For the ideas, we need to understand the mainstream point of view, so that it can do the fundamental things, through the accumulation of a little forward; do not go to the beginning of the odd novelty seeking, this matter will have a lot of randomness.
Falsification is more important than confirmed
In science and real life proved more important than falsification. For a phenomenon we can always find a logical self-consistent theory to explain it, and then find a few examples to prove that our interpretation. But this theory may be just one possible explanation of it, but the association does not constitute a causal relationship, to improve the reliability you need to be able to falsification, the so-called falsification is to be able to make predictions based on this theory, be able to verify and right or wrong, every successful authentication improve once the credibility, validation fails they think this theory is problematic. If this theory can be proved, but can not be falsified, and that this can not be considered a scientific theory.
A theory to explain the problem will be more, may also have more self-consistent logic can justify, but not all these theories together is the truth or the truth, a lot of Internet information is developed, will have to take the point of view of grandstanding out deliberately to find unusual but logical self-consistent explanation, won everyone's attention, but this may not be the real reason.
Judge the credibility of a principle point of view: the determination of conflict of interest
Use common sense can judge the authenticity of most things. But in the more specialized areas they are not familiar in some of the things we must often consider when making a judgment of experts, entrepreneurs, academics, or the old driver's point of view, and this time do not superstitious authority, and even experts often view different, contradictory but can be justified, such as the development of views on the economy, the stock market, policymakers are often disagreement. In fact, do not need to have much knowledge of expertise, you can determine so-called experts say in the end do not fly. Because it will do one thing, and the difficulty of determining the authenticity of a thing is different, the method is different.
A principle judgment of experts, authoritative view of credibility: whether there is a conflict of interest. For example, many years ago in Chinese academic circles whether launched some water conservancy projects, water conservancy experts almost one-sided support for nuclear energy experts and opposition parties have not sincere sufficient scientific evidence. Obviously it launched a number of water conservancy projects, almost the majority of water experts will benefit, because the investment in energy is limited, so investment in nuclear energy will be reduced, so the views expressed by the two sides will carry their own interests. Under such circumstances we can not understand because water experts on water conservancy fully accept their point of view.
So, a lot of people, when the agency came out to express their views, in addition to looking outside their own point of view, it also depends on where they stand when speaking, sometimes decided to head butt, this really is difficult to avoid. When the interests of the speaker's involved, then they should say playing a discount on credibility.