[Weapon System] [2017.06] Interception technology and policy challenge assessment of airborne booster stage

This article is the Massachusetts Institute of Technology (Author: Samuel S. Lacinski) master's thesis, a total of 113.

Technological innovation is one of the main sources of social progress. In the field of national defense, it is related to the strategic interests of a country. The national defense innovation policy is the crystallization of many factors, including consideration of the future strategic environment, bureaucratic and organizational politics between the service and civil institutions, and domestic politics. The varying degrees of impact of these inputs often help explain the results. One case of particular interest in U.S. defense innovation is the modern evolution of missile defense systems. This evolution mainly began with the Reagan administration’s response to the Soviet threat and continues to this day in response to emerging missile threats. With the emergence of the North Korean ballistic missile threat, the new method of using drones to intercept missiles in the propulsion phase may enhance the US's ability to defend against missile attacks. In order to evaluate why such a system does not currently exist, evaluate the feasibility of the system and understand how to deploy it.

1. 历史分析当前导弹防御系统的起源及其法律含义
   

2. 建立导弹防御向朝鲜转移的政策共识，并确定推进段拦截的技术
   

3. 建立政治联盟支持新的助推段拦截系统
   

4. 对以前的导弹防御进行案例研究，以开发一种良好的导弹防御系统产品。
   

This paper points out that the simultaneous acquisitions in order to provide the ability to quickly counter the emerging third world missile threats are the main reason for the current lack of interception capabilities in the propulsion stage. The next step will show that a system based on the MQ-9 UAV can provide the ability to intercept intercontinental and medium-range ballistic missiles from representative regions in a short period of time. Finally, it is recommended to form a political alliance composed of the combatant command and the US Navy to support the development of such a system based on operational and organizational interests, and to propose improvements to the acquisition process.

Technological innovation broadly is one of the major sources societal advance. In the realm of defense, it is of prime importance to the strategic interests of a nation. Defense innovation policy is the culmination of a variety of factors, including considerations of the future strategic environment, bureaucratic and organizational politics between military services and civilian agencies, and domestic politics. The differing degrees of influence of these inputs often helps to explain the resultant systems. A case study of particular interest in United States’ defense innovation is the modern evolution of missile defense systems. Such evolution principally began under the Reagan administration in response to thethreat from the Soviet Union and continues today to meet emerging missile threats. With the emergence of the North Korean ballistic missile threat, a new capability using unmanned aerial vehicles to intercept missiles during boost phase may increasecapability to defend the United States from missile attack. To assess why such a system does not currently exist, the viability of such a system, andunderstand how to field such a system, the following framework is developed:1.A historical analysis of the origins of current missile defense systemsand the implications of its legacy2.The establishment of a policy consensus of a shift in missile defense towards North Korea and the identification of a technological opportunity in boost-phase intercept3.Building a political coalition to support the new boost-phase interceptsystem4.Case studies on previous missile defense efforts to develop a good product.This thesis identifies concurrency in acquisitions to provide rapid capability against emerging third-world missile threats as a prime reason for the lack of a current boost-phase interceptcapability. Next, it shows that a system based on the MQ-9 Reaper could provide the capability to intercept notional intercontinental-and intermediate-range ballistic missiles from representative geographies in the near-term. Finally, it suggests a political coalition incorporating the combatant commands and the United States Navydue to operational and organizational intereststo champion the development of such a system, incorporating recommendations to improve the acquisitions process.

1.   评估国防创新的框架与方法
   

2. The origin of modern missile defense architecture
3. New policy consensus and technological opportunities-the relevance of modern threats to the advancement of interception
4. Technical deployment: establish political alliances and develop products
5. Conclusions and wider applications
   Appendix A to generate ballistic missile trajectories
   Appendix B: Missile exhaust wake detection modeling during boost
   Appendix C Dual passive sensor extended Kalman filter

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