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In the industrial age we are engaged in the management or management consultant job, will use a path-dependent, what is it? Which is what I want to address uncertainty in an uncertain thing. For example, I know that is not necessarily what will happen next, are forecast are based on experience to do judgment. But I still hope that I address this uncertainty of the path is determined, which is famous McKinsey experience inside the "hypothesis-driven" - to sit here make it clear: From my experience, it is estimated what problems may arise in the future ; then continue to sit there and think: What is the first step, the second step is how modeling what ...... must be structured and what tools, what execution method Yes.
1 , OTC run subsystems registered merchant step - download, register an account:
Sign dimensional code scanning agent provides a higher level, copy the URL into your browser open, after registering an account, download APP . Login After registration is complete APP , click on the upper left corner, bind bank card. Activate the account needs to pay 200DC , buy DC deducted automatically after 200DC for the activation fee. Activation is successful. First recharge 3000DC from the charge, full payment to the bank card number of the current interface, payment completion point "has been prepaid payment confirmation" and wait for the other party to put coins. Focus: two decimal places are also required to pay the full amount, otherwise it is impossible to verify, businesses bear the loss themselves. Only by bank card binding recharge behalf of the charge can not, or can not be credited into account. Running subsystem development
2 , OTC run subsystems grab a single process decomposition - binding receivables code:
Click "collection code" add a micro-channel and Alipay payment code ( adding ordinary receivables code, do not upload quotas code ) , you can upload each 1000 Ge code. Key: You can not upload personal friend added two-dimensional code, offenders title.
3 , OTC run subsystems grab a single operation - orders:
Click "Start orders", grab the single, waiting for the other to your payment. If you've received payment in full, please click "payments received", the transaction is completed. Focus: payment amount is wrong, overcharged, undercharged, duplicate payment is received, not all points "charged 'contact-line processing lower-right corner. Once it clicks, resulting in the loss of your peril.
4 , OTC run subsystems grab a single operation - simultaneous multi-pen orders: run subsystems development
Then through the first half of 2013 collision with a large number of Internet exchanges human circle, I suddenly want to understand a question, is this: all attempts to use a deterministic approach to solve the problem of uncertainty attempt is doomed to fail. Pessimistic point, it can also speak a doomsday crisis of traditional management theory arrived. Because in today's traditional management theories are dominant, especially starting from Tyler, it is based on the assumption that highly deterministic control. Assume control means to minimize all variables, especially the people that make the biggest variable simplify processing. Therefore, under the influence of industry thinking, there may be a prophet, but most like me of the management consulting industry practitioners, to date still being abducted by Taylor, so we pay out is "OK job."