In-depth analysis of the nature of Filecoin's high staking, high Gas fee, and currency price plummet, and get out of the puzzle

After Filecoin's independent online launch, it ushered in unprecedented attention, and it also brought cheers and excitement to everyone. After the hustle and bustle, there were also some chaos in the market, such as official currency selling, smashing, and cutting leeks. , Pre-staking allows miners to buy coins to increase computing power, post-staking to increase operation and maintenance risks, gas fees are too high, deliberately congested, unfriendly to miners, etc., etc., are questioned, or even a scam. ....V|jasonbody

But is the truth of the matter really like this ? Seeing the above content requires you to have a deep understanding of the Filecoin project in order to see the only truth from the confusion and get out of the predicament.

FIL token price trend

In the traditional Internet market, the hero is based on the stock price, while in the blockchain world, the currency price serves as this element.

But putting the judgment standard of currency prices in the blockchain into the Filecoin project is different. Because Filecoin is a special project, miners hope to lower the currency price to reduce their mining costs, but on the other hand, they are looking forward to the increase in the currency price, thus shortening the return period. Therefore, the best way is to keep the currency price stable in order to promote the steady development of the Filecoin storage network in an orderly and stable manner.

Currently Filecoin is still in the early stage of ecological construction. Controlling the low currency price can effectively reduce the mining cost of miners. With the passage of time, the official hand will definitely have fewer and fewer chips for ecological development, which will allow more FIL to flow into the market. At that time, the official will lose effective control of the currency price. There is no need to control FIL too much at this time. s price.

Filecoin has only been online for three months. Just like a toddler, what we can do is to give it more care and let it face the market alone when it matures, but it obviously does not yet have such a ability. The maturity of development requires a gradual process, which also meets the law of development of things.

The growth rate of computing power slows down

When the official first designed Filecoin, it was estimated that the effective computing power of data storage should be simultaneously developed with the ecological development. It is said that it is 15PB per day in the early stage. If this number is exceeded, the gas fee will be greatly increased, and the miners will consider cost Will slow down the packaging speed to control the network growth rate.

However, in the turbulent Chinese market, most of the top 100 nodes in computing power are currently in China, which greatly exceeds official expectations. Miners are simply pursuing block rewards and neglecting ecological construction. This is not official. Happy to see.

If Filecoin has storage capacity but no valid data, it will not be able to promote the development of IPFS. It is a luxury to replace the HTTP protocol. At this time, Filecoin is a castle in the sky. Even if you have more FIL in your hands, it is just a bunch of worthless data.

Therefore, if there is no official guidance, develop it into a distributed network that stores the most important information of human society, promote ecological construction, and introduce effective data. According to the current development trend, it will definitely become a pure mining project, and Filecoin will become a worthless air project in the long run.

Excessive gas fees are not the point

Some people think that the recent excessively high Gas fee is fatal to Filecoin, and that TPS should be increased to reduce network congestion.

The current TPS design has actually been fully considered at the beginning of the project. If each storage order is 180 to 540 days, it will not consume much TPS at all. The current TPS is mainly consumed to ensure storage security, that is, to submit All kinds of proofs, sending all kinds of messages. When the storage base is larger, the more sectors are occupied, the more proofs need to be submitted, and the TPS consumption is of course more.

Filecoin is currently facing a big problem-too much junk data in the network. The growth of junk data has greatly exceeded official expectations, and most of the TPS is consumed on these junk data, which is meaningless. Even if TPS is improved through technical means, it will only promote the growth rate of junk data, which is equally meaningless. It will not increase the value of Filecoin. The real value of Filecoin lies in valid data, which is why the official promotion of Filecoin Plus lies.

The official idea at the beginning of the design

Considering the growth rate of effective data, the current TPS fully meets the needs. With the increase in volume in the later period, the network TPS is gradually improved through the construction of lightning network and fragmentation technology to meet business needs. If the TPS is increased at this moment, it can only meet the requirements of junk data storage growth.

However, the faster the growth of junk data will have a negative effect on the growth of valid data. Even if it is 10 times the computing power, miners will be dismissive.

Based on the above reasons, we can understand the reason why the government is desperately promoting ecological development. Only true ecological development can promote the generation of effective data . Only then will the demand of the chain be promoted. Through the demand of this chain, various problems encountered, including TPS, will be solved, in other words, driven by business needs, to continuously improve the blockchain.

How to define valid data

If the screening of valid data is not done well, it is easy to cheat. Therefore, the government has promoted the validator system and is gradually implementing it. Currently there are two validators in China: Fenbushi Capital and Huobi.

Currently, Filecoin does not hope that everyone will not encapsulate data, nor does it hope that the speed of encapsulating data is too fast, and a large amount of garbage data is filled. The grasp of this balance point is more than the official operational wisdom of the school.

Looking at the current problems from the official perspective, you will find that the official concern is the issue of valid data on the chain, rather than the TPS and Gas issues that are generally concerned by miners. This is the official strategic arrangement for project development. It is not that some people think that TPS is solved. After the message processing congestion is solved, the gas fee is reduced. It is as simple as that.

From an official perspective, nodes can also make appropriate adjustments to appropriately slow down the packaging speed when the gas fee is high.

Miners are not yet profitable

Looking at all the nodes currently involved in mining, there is basically no profit, so what exactly did Filecoin's top mine have?

If there is an answer, it is to dig more FIL. This experience has also happened in Bitcoin: many miners sell it when the price of Bitcoin is low. So the problem of miners losing money is clear, because they sold when the price was low. If the price of FIL rises a lot in the next few years, the more FIL miners there are, the more profitable space there is.

What if the price of FIL drops in a few years? No matter how much FIL has, there is no use. In fact, for the same reason, we still need to look at the effective data volume in the Filecoin network. If there is a large amount of data in Filecoin in 5 years, the price of FIL will not be too low.

Therefore, returning to the key to this problem, the top mine is more coins, Bitcoin, Ethereum, FIL, all of this. More coins does not necessarily guarantee that you will gain the most, because many people can't hold it! This is reality.

We are very optimistic about the Filecoin project. This is the consensus of all participants in the world. I am optimistic about the IPFS/Filecoin distributed storage competition, and there is currently no strong competitor.

When anything is born and matures, it will inevitably encounter various problems. The process of development is the process of solving various problems. In history, there has not been a project that goes smoothly to success. It must have gone through various difficulties and tests.

Only by understanding the nature of the distributed network that the Filecoin project stores the most important information of human society can one understand the official efforts to promote ecological construction.

The protocol laboratory focuses on the world's top brains, and its predictive and long-term planning and strategic vision, and even the ability, methods, and speed to actively solve problems when they encounter problems are extremely fast. On the contrary, if you misunderstand the essence and core of the project and are eager for quick success, you will be very confused and even hateful because of love. After a lot of investment, I found that the cost of new computing power was too high, pre-pledge, post-pledge, and soaring gas fees..., many people could not afford to lose, get angry, or even become angry.

The risk of the Filecoin project itself is smaller than the risk of miners. If Filecoin no longer exists, then all miners will disappear, but the disappearance and replacement of miners will not affect the existence of the Filecoin network, so we must choose the miner team when participating in the Filecoin project, try to avoid risks, and wait for Filecoin to take advantage of the wind Rise!

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Origin blog.csdn.net/weixin_49419454/article/details/112710159