Recently, watch international news makes me a headache, because most of the hot topics related to Trump relevant. Every time you open the site, Trump name on occupied half the screen.
But in the past week, American politics has suddenly become interesting, because there is a fresh face in American politics news is that ethnic Chinese entrepreneurs, Yang Anze. This man, maybe you are also concerned, he is the 2020 US presidential election the Democratic candidate.
In the national debate within the party primaries held last Wednesday inside, Yang Anze appeared very prominent, and became the second most favored candidate, second only to Joe Biden.
Yang Anze have become the dark horse, there is a very important reason, is that he took a very distinct and somewhat different policy proposals. He believes that the biggest challenge now facing the United States, neither from outside competition, not from the internal contradictions of the United States, but from technology.
Artificial intelligence and automation, can cause serious wave of unemployment, this is the biggest challenge. Seriously to what extent? He predicted that in the next 12 years, every three Americans, there is a risk of unemployment individuals. So he argued that everyone over the age of 18 give a monthly payment of $ 1,000 guarantee the basic livelihood.
This policy is very clever idea, because people equivalent to the various parties, created a common enemy artificial intelligence. This is also reflected in his campaign slogans: "No to the left, not right, but forward!"
In fact, about how artificial intelligence will develop, how will affect each of us, the market has been a lot of discussion. For example, "A Brief History of Future" Yuval He Lali, outlines an algorithm and artificial intelligence dominated the world, would be like.
All of these discussions, of course, are very valuable. However, there is a premise, but few people asked, and that is: artificial intelligence, really determine the direction of technological development do?
There is a great god-class people do not think so. In his view, artificial intelligence, at best, only a possible path of development of technology, rather than the inevitable path.
I would like to share with you his views.
Let you tell us about the great God. His name is George Gilder. Gilder is a very famous American economist. In the 1980s, he was one of the representatives of the supply school. Then US President Ronald Reagan, were profoundly influenced by Gilder views. Now, Gilder is one of the digital economy preacher. He invested his own technology company, the magazine also published an article on science and technology. Someone called him one of the three thinkers in the digital age.
Gilder is a look at how the development of technology trend here?
First look, we all current default technology trends, he considered how come.
Today, the world's three most promising technologies, some people are summarized ABC, A refers to the AI, artificial intelligence, B refers to Big Data, Big Data is, C refers to the Cloud, that is cloud computing. These three technologies have become the consensus of large technology companies, as well as their battleground. Whether it is the United States of Google, Microsoft, Amazon, Apple, Facebook or Chinese Ali, Tencent, Baidu, we have invested a lot of resources in these three technologies.
With these three technologies continue to develop, what will result? Many people predicted that mankind eventually have to learn to listen to the arrangements of the algorithm, as well as many professional decision-making authority, will transfer to the algorithm.
This seems to have become a consensus of. But Gilder has pointed to this set of ideas, in fact, is a philosophical system one kind of Google-style.
Why is Google-type it? Because this is the evolution from among Google's business model out.
Google's business model, summarized in one sentence, is recommended based on intelligent big data and algorithms. Users with a Google search, produce a large amount of user data. Based on these data, Google can go and precise marketing push ads to users. At first, people also need to take the initiative to search for information, products or services you want. However, with the maturity of big data and algorithm technology, the platform will transition to the recommended age to become an intelligent recommendation tool.
Gilder believes, like big data, cloud computing, artificial intelligence, which we take for granted the idea, in fact, is a copy and enlarge Google business model. In his view, the evolution in this path, we are absolutely not create real intelligence.
Because now the path which envisaged technical personnel have a loophole, and that is considered to calculate the speed can create smart, as long as enough data and computing speed fast enough, then we will be able to impart to the machine consciousness and creativity.
Under this logic, computer algorithms and may not need to know a specific company, we do not need to know what these companies are doing, you can do it invested in accordance with vast amounts of data; computer does not need to learn a language text What does it mean to say is that it is able to make accurate recognition and translation.
But in fact, human science now yet sufficient to fully understand the human brain and consciousness. In Gilder view, if you do not understand consciousness, we can not build up a smart, in fact, built just a set of computer theory. Now artificial intelligence algorithm is only one input and output, with Gilder's words, "it simply can not think."
So, artificial intelligence, big data and cloud computing, computational science but to develop a technology evolution path of today, however, it is not a defined path, is not necessarily the future.
So why do so many large companies are heavily invested artificial intelligence, big data, and cloud computing it?
Gilder to answer is: If the technology evolution follow this path, the current technology giant will become the eternal winner. Because these technologies require significant capital investment, require a large amount of user-generated data, only large-scale technology platform can do these things.
The Gilder believe, in fact, the future development of technology, there are still other paths.
For example, in his view, a block chain is another technology evolution path. The data now concentrated in the hands of large companies, but the data can also be decentralized, belongs to each individual. We are now discussing the future of big data, but Gilder thinks, block chain economy is the future.
There is also a possible evolution path, based on augmented reality and enhance human intelligence, rather than replace human intelligence evolution path for the center. Like brain-computer interface, is a kind of technology can enhance human intelligence.
Briefly summarize, today to introduce you to a thinker George Gilder thinking about technology evolution path. It is divided into three points:
First of all, now occupy the leading technology trends, like artificial intelligence, cloud computing, big data, in fact, is the philosophy of technology big companies like Google proposed.
Second, the technology is only one path to the future evolution of technology, not only to determine the final or path. Technology leaders such technology is so keen to ABC, because it is in line with their position, allowing large technology platform to continue to maintain our edge.
Third, even if these three technologies is, in fact, there are other paths of evolution.
If you are interested in his views, you can go and see Gilder's book, "post-Google era", that there are more comprehensive exposition. Of course, Gilder's point of view, just a voice on the evolution of technology, you are welcome to share your own judgment in the message zone.