On the one hand, the threshold programmers are disappearing, because year after year computer-related professional graduates; IT training students out year after year; a variety of network programming course, is helping countless people zero the basis of the transformation of software development ......
On the other hand, programmers wages, frequently two or three million, three fifty thousand, far higher than other industries most technical positions, seems filled with foam.
So, some people began to worry about: increasing the threshold is low, foam increasingly large, ten years later, we will have today's programmers income?
Today, we take a look from the perspective of the development trend of the times, programmers income over the next ten years later, it may happen.
First, industry trends
One to two years, you have no job promotions, salary can increase individual efforts play a significant role. And five years, eight years, ten years or longer, the trend of the role will be far greater than the individual effort, personal effort will even drown.
For example
from 1978 to 2007, gold Chinese real estate reform 30 years (from 1978 to 1988 for the exploration phase, from 1988 to 1998 for the promotion and deepening phase, 1998 to stop welfare housing, housing commercialization fully open era), Vanke, Golden, SOHO China, Poly Real estate, are at this stage of the development trend of the country along the enclosure ××× done, and their early employees, many have fame. Related to this, many practitioners ××× intermediaries, also followed the trend, get a huge return. Now, if you are re-entering the real estate business, from scratch, very difficult to have a big development - because the big leap during the real estate development has been in the past.
When you enter the correct channel, even if you have no force, rushing water will push you fast forward .
This is the power trends.
So, what is now the trend? What industry is the right river?
Look at a map:
The figure, the United States 200 years the industry growth rate transition diagrams, describes the steam ship from 1820 to 1995, including the Internet, several industry trends. Domestic industry trends and the United States are similar, but slightly lagging a few years. Every industry growth rate, both experienced growth peaked, slow decline stage.
Accelerate the development of China's Internet, probably from 1997, the earliest PC Internet, mobile Internet and later, and now the Internet +, and then the next things, smart city, intelligent transportation, artificial intelligence, all the way to flourish, although the small twists and turns, big trends never changed, the future generalization side, side to deepen, eight or ten years, the trend for the better!
As long as the same positive trend, practitioners in related fields, the income will not decrease.
Second, the national strategic planning
So, in the next ten years, this trend will not change it in the end? We take a look Thirteen Five national plan (2016 - 2020) will know.
Figure fancy, thirteen five-year plan corresponding to 2016 and 2020, the general direction is to accelerate the growth of strategic emerging industries, create new economic engine of social development.
In the strategic emerging industries, the most important component is the IT industry and Internet economy. See below:
What does this mean? Information technology and network economy, is the focus of national strategic planning at the national level will support a variety of policy, capital, resources, and protect it fast, broad-based development. Internet +, big data, artificial intelligence, will be the top priority.
Knock blackboard draw the focus of it :
this strategic plan will be to what time? 2030 (see the previous picture is)! And 11 years from now! It is to say, the next decade, information technology and network economy, will become a pillar of economic development of the country and the dominant force.
If you still have doubts, look at other emerging industries of national planning.
Although high-end equipment, new materials, aviation, mass transit does not belong to the Internet industry, but which one is the future, not the software-based?
New energy industry, we look at new energy vehicles to Tesla electric cars, for example, it is the reconstruction of the old car by "battery + software" approach. There is no doubt that this model will be further developed in the future --2017 Frankfurt Motor Show has released a large number of signals:
Volkswagen Group announced that, at the latest by 2030, the Volkswagen Group's entire model line-up will achieve electrification. BMW announced that 2025 will offer 25 models of electric vehicles, 12 models for the pure electric vehicle. Mercedes-Benz said the 2022 launch 10 new electric products, all models will launch a new energy-driven version, there will be more than 50 kinds of electric vehicles.
So, the car full transition towards a new energy, is expected to complete in 2030, this time nodes and strategic planning as our nation. This transformation, which must be given "new energy + software" approach propulsion.
Related to this, the autopilot + intelligent transportation, is still software, data, integrated network applications.
Another important direction of look at thirteen proposed five-year plan - the promotion of digital and creative industries to flourish:
In this direction, now the party's Nineteenth National People's Congress said the spirit of the consumer sector .
Spiritual consumption over the next decade, bound to become increasingly prominent, because the material is more abundant, even excessive, material aspects of consumer demand will inevitably cross into the spiritual level. The spirit of a consumer trend is digital, data, virtual - Think about how much time of your day in the consumer phone.
Also, if you now to observe students learning and entertainment, even more determined: school, work digitizing; other times, cell phone or iPad to play games! The future generations in the digital, virtual grew up, their lives will be more digitized virtual future. The digital virtualization, will inevitably depend on the software.
in conclusion
Based on the above analysis, we can conclude that, over the next decade, software, Internet, data, intelligence and other related areas, is still the trend of the times programmers, and support the development of these areas, the average income is still much higher than in other industries .