most unlikely prediction
The most unlikely prediction I've ever heard is "ChatGPT will replace programmers' jobs".
On the contrary, because of the emergence of tools such as ChatGPT, I assert that in the next ten years, China will add more than 500 million new programmers.
Programmer efficiency has been improving at a rapid pace
Some people say that because ChatGPT can write programs, programmers will lose their jobs. However, in the world of programmers, things that increase productivity by 100 times overnight happen almost every day.
For example, when writing programs in C language for the first time, everyone called various sorting algorithms (such as sort) in the system library to sort, instead of writing bubble sort by themselves. Every function in the function library is the crystallization of the efforts of previous programmers, and calling it yourself is the efficiency improvement. Even the simplest random number generator, a hash algorithm, or a simple square root function, if you write it yourself, for most people, it will take a week and a half to figure it out.
In the past, it took a month to write front-end code, but front-end frameworks like React and Vue may not need an hour. The entire programmer's world is to encapsulate individual program libraries and frameworks, using PIP or NPM as a mechanism like the App Store, global collaboration, and efficiency has been improving by 100 times and 100 times. ChatGPT is just a recent improvement.
More efficient industry practitioners
Then, every time the efficiency is improved by a hundred times, the programmer's original one-month work can be completed in one hour, which will bring programmers