Blockchain investment advice and forecast in 2018, is this year really the year of blockchain?

Since I came into contact with blockchain in June 2017, I have spent a lot of time every day learning about this field, and now I have hundreds of hours. I have also experienced currency speculation, learning, making mistakes, and writing articles to practice. After earning some small money and paying a lot of tuition fees, I deeply realized that success is not accidental, but the result of correct understanding and thinking. Once you can truly understand what is valuable, invest and hold for the long term, financial freedom is a matter of time.

What is really valuable? The earlier it is discovered, the harder it is, and we usually make judgments not based on essence, but on phenomena. Just like the early Bitcoin, the value at 10 cents and the value at 100,000 have not changed, but we can see it through the "price".

This one may be expensive, or it may be worthless. I wrote down my investment perception. This article does not constitute investment advice for anyone, and you need to think carefully before making a decision.

The first suggestion:

Understand that Bitcoin is the "hard currency" of blockchain assets.

The weight of Bitcoin has been reduced from 50% to 30%, which is the bottom line of blockchain asset investment

As the market value of Bitcoin rises, it faces more and more uncertainties. As a single species, extreme market conditions with a daily rise or fall of more than 20% have an excessive impact on the index. Reducing its weight will make the index trend relatively flat. , which is conducive to the observation of trends.

Second suggestion:

Configure 5-10% of the second market value varieties

If you have already configured some bitcoins, congratulations, you have only completed the first step, in addition, you should also configure 5-10% of the second market capitalization variety (currently eth).

The third suggestion:

Your favorite variety should be configured with 5-10%

Added EOS and weighted it the same as ETH.

The same is the industrial foundation of the blockchain, and the different generations are observed on a baseline, which has the value of hedging and optimizing the trend.

  • 1. Always remind yourself: You don't know you don't know. This is very important because those who don't know will kill us.

  • 2. Jack Bogle said: Time is a friend, impulse is the devil.

  • 3. Invest using the 2/8 principle, those that generate 80% of the profits are determined by 20% of the assets.

  • 4. Confident experts do not do better than monkeys in fields where the laws have not yet been mastered by humans.

  • 5. There is a fundamental limit to the ability of our brains to address small risks: we either ignore them entirely or place too much emphasis on them, with no middle ground.

  • 6. Meditation: You don't have your own private key, you don't really own your own assets.

  • 7.不要把所有币都放在交易所。历史那些丢币的交易所已经是大概率事件了。

  • 8.短期看,中心化的交易所是游戏制定者,因为他们提供基础设施,也能控制加密货币的价格和趋势。

  • 9.推断:那些可以动摇中心化交易所地位的协议才是未来。比如0x(去中心化的交易所协议)。而基于这些协议的dapp也会发车,比如paradex.io。

  • 10.OmiseGo也许是下一个独角兽。或许他是未来的支付平台。然而如何解决链上交易的问题是关键,他们使用的 Cosmos network解决方案或许有风险,但是真能实现将会迎来大的普及,可以长期关注。

  • 11.同时还看好两个dEX项目:Airswap ($AST) and Kyber Networks ($KNC).

  • 12.2018年将是dapp爆发年,越多dapp意味着需要更多的资源,比如Ether(传输),Filecoin(存储),Golem (算力)。

  • 13.越来越多平台级操作系统出现,NEO和QTUM的生态已经形成。

  • 14.交易所的竞争越来越激烈,云币,币安,bittrex,coinbase轮流上演,kucoin是后起之秀,有很多好玩的项目,也许长期能超过币安。

  • 15.现阶段协议和基础设施还未真正准备好,建立在其上的dapp也会受影响,也意味着更大的风险。

  • 16.CryptoKitties是去年眼前一亮的dapp,但如果把想象力局限在养猫那就不对了,期待更多杀手级应用。

  • 17.互联网最赚钱的是赌博和色情。区块链世界呢?哈哈哈想想就很激动。

  • 18.Cardano($ADA)在去年上升市值很快,野心很大。简单来说是集成了数字货币(比特币,莱特币)和智能合约(以太坊)的区块链生态。他的想法很前瞻,但是设计极其复杂。长期关注。

  • 19.再说一次Ripple(XRP),它的唯一优势就是快。但是闪电网络和Raiden,Plasma都在快速演变,也许到那时,ripple的使命就完成了。

  • 20.机构在纷纷入场。JP摩根说比特币是泡沫,同时又在大量购入比特币。然后,他们自己做了一个类似zcash的匿名项目Quorum blockchain.

  • 21.银行抵制比特币,但同时也在布局区块链。但怎样呢?如果你做的本质是中心化的,那个区块链的世界终将出局,就这么简单。

  • 22.比特币就是钱。也是人类历史上最靠谱的钱。

  • 23.中国对加密货币的影响将淡出。关闭交易所,禁止ICO,驱除矿场。这也是一个信号,政府发现行动的太晚了。

  • 24.人们会越来越意识到隐私的重要。Zcash,Monero等匿名币将供不应求。

  • 25.XVG是一匹黑马,一个涨了688256.46%的项目,不管他是否是一个骗局,都值得关注。

  • 26.游戏和视频是一个很大的市场,谁能吃下将意味着绝对机会。最好投资有落地项目。

  • 27.去中心化的社交。区块链带能解决用户隐私和信息不被第三方控制,内容创造者的收益完全归自己。

  • 28.西联之于柯达,coinbase之于诺基亚,我们在等待iPhone.

  • 29.到2010年,世界上的25亿人或许不再需要银行。这些人多分布在东南亚、非洲、拉丁美洲。也正因为银行无法服务到这这些地区,他们将享受更灵活的银行服务。

  • 30.投资前,问问自己,“不买”的理由有哪些?

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